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作者:Azrieli, Yaron; Chambers, Christopher P.; Healy, Paul J.
作者单位:University System of Ohio; Ohio State University; Georgetown University
摘要:Experimental economists currently lack a convention for how to pay subjects in experiments with multiple tasks. We provide a theoretical framework for analyzing this question. Assuming statewise monotonicity and nothing else, we prove that paying for one randomly chosen problem-the random problem selection mechanism-is essentially the only incentive compatible mechanism. Paying for every period is similarly justified when we assume only a no complementarities at the top condition. To help expe...
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作者:Goodman-Bacon, Andrew
作者单位:Vanderbilt University
摘要:This paper provides new evidence that Medicaid's introduction reduced infant and child mortality in the 1960s and 1970s. Mandated coverage of all cash welfare recipients induced substantial cross-state variation in the share of children immediately eligible for the program. Before Medicaid, higher- and lower-eligibility states had similar infant and child mortality trends. After Medicaid, public insurance utilization increased and mortality fell more rapidly among children and infants in high-...
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作者:DellaVigna, Stefano; Pope, Devin
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Berkeley; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Chicago
摘要:We analyze how academic experts and nonexperts forecast the results of 15 piece-rate and behavioral treatments in a real-effort task. The average forecast of experts closely predicts the experimental results, with a strong wisdom-of-crowds effect: the average forecast outperforms 96 percent of individual forecasts. Citations, academic rank, field, and contextual experience do not correlate with accuracy. Experts as a group do better than nonexperts, but not if accuracy is defined as rank-order...
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作者:Heath, Rachel
作者单位:University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle
摘要:I argue that firms use referrals from current workers to mitigate a moral hazard problem. I develop a model in which referrals relax a limited liability constraint by allowing the firm to punish the referral provider if the recipient has low output. I test the model's predictions using household survey data that I collected in Bangladesh. I can control for correlated wage shocks within a network and correlated unobserved type between the recipient and provider I reject the testable implication...
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作者:Avis, Eric; Ferraz, Claudio; Finan, Frederico
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Berkeley; Pontificia Universidade Catolica do Rio de Janeiro; IZA Institute Labor Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research
摘要:This paper examines the extent to which government audits of public resources can reduce corruption by enhancing political and judiciary accountability. We do so in the context of Brazil's anticorruption program, which randomly audits municipalities for their use of federal funds. We find that being audited in the past reduces future corruption by 8 percent, while also increasing the likelihood of experiencing a subsequent legal action by 20 percent. We interpret these reduced-form findings th...
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作者:Halevy, Yoram; Persitz, Dotan; Zrill, Lanny
作者单位:University of Toronto; Tel Aviv University
摘要:Revealed preference theory is brought to bear on the problem of recovering approximate parametric preferences from consistent and inconsistent consumer choices. We propose measures of the incompatibility between the revealed preference ranking implied by choices and the ranking induced by the considered parametric preferences. These incompatibility measures are proven to characterize well-known inconsistency indices. We advocate a recovery approach that is based on such incompatibility measure...
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作者:Thompson, Owen
作者单位:University of Wisconsin System; University of Wisconsin Milwaukee
摘要:Blacks and whites in the United States adopt widely different parental behaviors, but the underlying causes of these differences are not well understood. This paper documents large-scale increases in cognitively stimulating parenting among southern black mothers who came of age in the period immediately following the civil rights movement. The total magnitude of these improvements was approximately 0.5 standard deviations between the 1957 and 1964 birth cohorts, while no significant trends occ...
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作者:Anderson, Soren T.; Kellogg, Ryan; Salant, Stephen W.
作者单位:Michigan State University; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Chicago; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; Resources for the Future
摘要:We show that oil production from existing wells in Texas does not respond to oil prices, while drilling activity and costs respond strongly. To explain these facts, we reformulate Hotelling's classic model of exhaustible resource extraction as a drilling problem: firms choose when to drill, but production from existing wells is constrained by reservoir pressure, which decays as oil is extracted. The model implies a modified Hotelling rule for drilling revenues net of costs, explains why the pr...
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作者:Jones, Charles I.; Kim, Jihee
作者单位:Stanford University; National Bureau of Economic Research; Korea Advanced Institute of Science & Technology (KAIST)
摘要:Top income inequality rose sharply in the United States over the last 40 years but increased only slightly in France and Japan. Why? We explore a model in which heterogeneous entrepreneurs, broadly interpreted, exert effort to generate exponential growth in their incomes, which tends to raise inequality. Creative destruction by outside innovators restrains this expansion and induces top incomes to obey a Pareto distribution. Economic forces that affect these two mechanismsincluding information...
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作者:Akcigit, Ufuk; Kerr, William R.
作者单位:University of Chicago; National Bureau of Economic Research; Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); Harvard University; National Bureau of Economic Research
摘要:We build a tractable growth model in which multiproduct incumbents invest in internal innovations to improve their existing products, while new entrants and incumbents invest in external innovations to acquire new product lines. External and internal innovations generate heterogeneous innovation qualities, and firm size affects innovation incentives. We analyze how different types of innovation contribute to economic growth and the role of the firm size distribution. Our model aligns with many...