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作者：Brodeur, Abel; Carrell, Scott; Figlio, David; Lusher, Ester
作者单位：University of Ottawa; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin; IZA Institute Labor Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Rochester; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Rochester; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); University of Pittsburgh
摘要：We use unique data from journal submissions to identify and unpack publication bias and p- hacking. We find initial submissions display significant bunching, suggesting the distribution among published statistics cannot be fully attributed to a publication bias in peer review. Desk- rejected manuscripts display greater heaping than those sent for review; i.e., marginally significant results are more likely to be desk rejected. Reviewer recommendations, in contrast, are positively associated wi...
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作者：Rubens, Michael
作者单位：University of California System; University of California Los Angeles
摘要：I examine the effects of oligopsony power on allocative efficiency and income redistribution by studying a size regulation in the Chinese tobacco industry that led to ownership consolidation. I show that separate identification of input price markdowns, goods price markups, and productivity is challenging when a subset of inputs is nonsubstitutable, which often holds for materials, and construct and estimate a model to overcome this challenge. I find that the regulation increased input price m...
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作者：Barwick, Panle Jia; Liu, Yanyan; Patacchini, Eleonora; Wu, Qi
作者单位：University of Wisconsin System; University of Wisconsin Madison; National Bureau of Economic Research; Cornell University; CGIAR; International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); Cornell University; Cornell University; IZA Institute Labor Economics; Peking University
摘要：This paper uses the universe of cellphone records from a Chinese telecommunication provider for a northern Chinese city to examine the role of information exchange in urban labor markets. We provide the first direct evidence of increased communication among referral pairs around job changes. Information provided by social contacts mitigates information asymmetry and improves labor market perfor-mance. (JEL D82, J62, O18, P23, P25, R23, Z13)
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作者：Okeke, Edward N.
作者单位：RAND Corporation; Rand Health
摘要：This paper describes the results of a policy experiment conducted in coordination with the Nigerian government. In this experiment, some communities were randomly selected to receive a new doctor. These doctors were posted to the local public health center. Prior to their arrival, health care was provided by midlevel health-care providers (MLP). To separate the effect of (ostensibly higher) quality from that of quantity, another group of communities was provided with an additional midlevel pro...
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作者：Cappelen, Alexander W.; Cappelen, Cornelius; Tungodden, Bertil
作者单位：Norwegian School of Economics (NHH); University of Bergen
摘要：A main focus in economics is how to design optimal policies in second-best situations, which often requires a trade-off between giving some individuals more than they deserve, false positives, and others less than they deserve, false negatives. This paper provides novel evidence on people's second-best fairness preferences from large-scale experimental studies in the United States and Norway. The majority of people are more concerned with false negatives than with false positives, but we docum...
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作者：Cage, Julia; Dagorret, Anna; Grosjean, Pauline; Jha, Saumitra
作者单位：Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); Stanford University
摘要：We measure how a network of heroes can legitimize and diffuse extreme political behaviors. We exploit newly declassified intelli-gence files, novel voting data, and regimental histories to show that home municipalities of French line regiments arbitrarily rotated under Philippe Petain's generalship through the heroic World War I battlefield of Verdun diverge politically thereafter, particularly fol-lowing Petain's own overt espousal of authoritarian views. Further, under Petain's collaboration...
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作者：Bauer, Michael D.; Swanson, Eric T.
作者单位：University of Hamburg; Leibniz Association; Ifo Institut; National Bureau of Economic Research
摘要：Regressions of private-sector macroeconomic forecast revisions on monetary policy surprises often produce coefficients with signs opposite to standard macroeconomic models. The Fed information effect argues these puzzling results are due to monetary policy sur-prises revealing Fed private information. We show they are also con-sistent with a Fed response to news channel, where both the Fed and professional forecasters respond to incoming economic news. We present new evidence challenging the F...
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作者：Lanteri, Andrea; Rampini, Adriano A.
作者单位：Duke University
摘要：We characterize efficiency in an equilibrium model of investment and capital reallocation with heterogeneous firms facing collateral constraints. The model features two types of pecuniary externalities: collateral externalities, because the resale price of capital affects collateral constraints, and distributive externalities, because buyers of old capital are more financially constrained than sellers, consis-tent with empirical evidence. We prove that the stationary equilib-rium price of old ...
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作者：Frandsen, Brigham; Lefgren, Lars; Leslie, Emily
作者单位：Brigham Young University
摘要：We propose a nonparametric test for the exclusion and monotonicity assumptions invoked in instrumental variable (IV) designs based on the random assignment of cases to judges. We show its asymptotic validity and demonstrate its finite-sample performance in simula-tions. We apply our test in an empirical setting from the literature examining the effects of pretrial detention on defendant outcomes in New York. When the assumptions are not satisfied, we propose weaker versions of the usual exclus...
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作者：Black, Sandra E.; Denning, Jeffrey T.; Dettling, Lisa J.; Goodman, Sarena; Turner, Lesley J.
作者单位：Columbia University; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Notre Dame; National Bureau of Economic Research; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve System Board of Governors; University of Chicago; National Bureau of Economic Research
摘要：Growing reliance on student loans and repayment difficulties have raised concerns of a student debt crisis in the United States, but little is known about the effects of student borrowing on human capital and long-run financial well-being. We use variation induced by recent expansions in federal loan limits combined with administrative data sets to identify the effects of increased access to student loans on credit-constrained students' educational attainment, earnings, debt, and loan repaymen...
