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作者：Hsu, Yu-Chin; Huber, Martin; Lee, Ying-Ying; Liu, Chu-An
作者单位：Academia Sinica - Taiwan; National Central University; National Chengchi University; National Taiwan University; University of Fribourg; University of California System; University of California Irvine
摘要：We propose a Cram & eacute;r-von Mises-type test for testing whether the mean potential outcome given a specific treatment level has a weakly monotonic relationship with the continuous treatment under unconfoundedness. To flexibly control for a possibly high-dimensional set of covariates, our test is based on a double debiased machine learning method. We show that our test controls asymptotic size and is consistent against any fixed alternative. We apply our test to evaluate the Job Corps prog...
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作者：Liebert, Helge; Mader, Beatrice
作者单位：Swiss National Bank (SNB); University of Zurich; University of St Gallen
摘要：This paper investigates the returns to health care provision during the mortality transition. We construct a new panel data set covering German municipalities from 1928 to 1936. The endogeneity of health care supply is addressed by using the expulsion of Jewish physicians from statutory health insurance as exogenous variation in regional physician supply. Increases in the supply of physicians reduce infant mortality and mortality from common childhood diseases. Using a semiparametric control f...
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作者：Colmer, Jonathan; Doleac, Jennifer L.
作者单位：University of Virginia
摘要：Gun violence is a major problem in the United States, and extensive prior work has shown that higher temperatures increase violent behavior. We consider whether restricting the concealed carry of firearms mitigates or exacerbates the effect of temperature on violence. We use two identification strategies that exploit daily variation in temperature and variation in gun control policies between and within states. We provide evidence that more-prohibitive concealed-carry laws attenuate the temper...
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作者：Ahn, Tom; Cunha, Jesse M.; Veith, Patrick
作者单位：United States Department of Defense; United States Navy; Naval Postgraduate School
摘要：We study the influence of workplace peers on ahigh-stakes, irreversible retirement plan choice. Midcareer U.S. military personnel choose between higher future pension payouts or an immediate bonus plus lower future payouts. With peers defined as those who have locked in their choices and personnel assignment rules ensuring that peer groups are exogenously formed, we capture the causal impact of peers. Greater peer take-up of the bonus, which is difficult to compare to the alternative plan but ...
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作者：Brooks, Leah; Rose, Jonathan; Veuger, Stan
作者单位：George Washington University; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Chicago
摘要：We study the aftermath of the 1968 Washington, D.C. civil disturbance to illuminate the mechanisms that drive urban redevelopment in the presence of low demand and racial tension. Using a within-block identification strategy, we show that destruction caused lots to remain vacant for the next thirty years and only recently converge in terms of structure value. The city acted to preclude for-profit land owners from leaving land vacant until demand conditions improved by purchasing nearly half of...
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作者：Mu, Yingfei; Rubin, Edward; Zou, Eric Yongchen
作者单位：Johns Hopkins University; University of Oregon; University of Michigan System; University of Michigan; National Bureau of Economic Research
摘要：Regulators often rely on regulated entities to self-monitor compliance, creating strategic incentives for endogenous monitoring. This paper builds a framework to detect whether local governments skip air pollution monitoring when they expect air quality to deteriorate. The core of our method tests whether the timing of monitor shutdowns coincides with the counties' air quality alerts-public advisories based on local governments' own pollution forecasts. Applying the method to a monitor in Jers...
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作者：Landaud, Fanny; Maurin, Eric; Willage, Barton; Willen, Alexander
作者单位：Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut Polytechnique de Paris; Ecole Polytechnique; ENSAE Paris; Paris School of Economics; University of Colorado System; Children's Hospital Colorado; University of Colorado Anschutz; University of Colorado Denver; National Bureau of Economic Research; Norwegian School of Economics (NHH)
摘要：paper provides novel evidence on the causal effect of high school Grade Point Average (GPA) on the human capital development and labor market trajectory of individuals. Causal identification is achieved by exploiting a unique feature of the Norwegian education system that produces exogenous variation in GPA among high school students. We find little effect on the number of completed years of higher education, but significant effects on the number and quality of higher education programs availa...
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作者：Lin, Zhongjian
作者单位：University System of Georgia; University of Georgia
摘要：This paper provides a method to study quantile effects in discrete choice with social interactions. The method is based on a behavioral social interactions model from quantile preference in decision making and demonstrates peer effects on different quantiles of discrete outcomes. The peer effects parameters are estimated by a nested pseudoscore (NPS) approach, which is developed to tackle the computational burden pertaining to the social interactions model. Consistency and asymptotic normality...
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作者：Santacreu, Ana Maria
作者单位：Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - St. Louis
摘要：This article investigates the determinants of international technology licensing using data for 50 countries during 1996-2012. A multicountry model of innovation yields a dynamic structural gravity equation for royalty payments as a function of fundamentals, including imperfect intellectual property protection and differences in corporate taxation. The gravity equation is estimated with nonlinear methods. My model's fundamentals account for about 60% of the variation in royalty payments. A qua...
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作者：Roth, Paula
作者单位：Stockholm School of Economics
摘要：Several studies have linked rising insolvency rates to increasing inequality and argued that this might be explained by individuals' desire to keep up with the Joneses. Using unique administrative register data on individual insolvencies in Sweden, I test whether the probability to become insolvent is related to one's income distance relative to peers. Identification relies on area fixed effects, an extensive set of background characteristics, and varying the definition of the relevant referen...
