-
作者:Pons, Vincent; Liegey, Guillaume
摘要:Improving the political participation immigrants could advance their interests and foster their integration into receiving countries. In this study, 23,800 citizens were randomly assigned to receive visits from political activists during the lead-up to the 2010 French regional elections. Treatment increased the turnout of immigrants without having any statistically significant effect on non immigrants, while turnout was roughly equal in the control group. A post-electoral survey reveals that i...
-
作者:Estevan, Fernanda; Gall, Thomas; Morin, Louis-Philippe
作者单位:Getulio Vargas Foundation; University of Southampton; University of Ottawa
摘要:We examine an innovative affirmative action policy at UNICAMP, a large and highly ranked Brazilian university, designed to enhance access for disadvantaged (public high school) applicants. The university awarded bonus points to targeted applicants in their admission exam. We assess the effect of this policy on the composition of admitted students and investigate possible behavioural responses in terms of examination preparation effort. We find that the policy significantly increased the admiss...
-
作者:Heinen, Andreas; Khadan, Jeetendra; Strobl, Eric
作者单位:CY Cergy Paris Universite; Inter-American Development Bank; University of Bern
摘要:We examine the impact of extreme weather on consumer prices in developing countries by constructing a monthly data set of potential hurricane and flood destruction indices and linking these with consumer price data for 15 Caribbean islands. Our econometric model shows that the price impact of extreme weather events can be large. To illustrate potential welfare losses due to these price effects, we combine our estimates with price elasticities obtained from a demand system and with event probab...
-
作者:Cassidy, Traviss
作者单位:University of Alabama System; University of Alabama Tuscaloosa
摘要:We estimate the long-run effects of oil wealth on development by exploiting spatial variation in sedimentary basins-areas where petroleum can potentially form. Instrumental variables estimates indicate that oil production impedes democracy and fiscal capacity development, increases corruption, and raises GDP per capita without significantly harming the non-resource sectors of the economy. We find no evidence that oil production increases internal armed conflict, coup attempts, or political pur...
-
作者:Cavalcanti, Tiago; Da Mata, Daniel; Santos, Marcelo
作者单位:University of Cambridge; Getulio Vargas Foundation; Instituto de Pesquisa Economica Aplicada (IPEA); Insper
摘要:We construct a simple model of a city with heterogeneous agents and housing choice to explain the determinants of slums, home to about one-third of the urban population in developing countries. The model supports the main empirical evidence regarding slum formation and is able quantitatively to assess the role of each determinant of slum growth. We show that urban poverty, inequality and rural-urban migration explain much of the variation in slum growth in Brazil from 1980 to 2000. Ex ante eva...
-
作者:Aaronson, Daniel; Phelan, Brian J.
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Chicago
摘要:We extend the task based empirical framework used in the job polarisation literature to analyse the susceptibility of low-wage employment to technological substitution. We find that increases in the cost of low-wage labour, via minimum wage hikes, lead to relative employment declines at cognitively routine Occupations but not manually-routine or non routine low-wage occupations. This suggests that low-wage routine cognitive tasks are susceptible to technological substitution. While the short-r...
-
作者:van den Berg, Gerard J.; Hofmann, Barbara; Uhlendorff, Arne
作者单位:University of Bristol; University of Groningen; IZA Institute Labor Economics; Leibniz Association; Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW); Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); Institut Polytechnique de Paris; Ecole Polytechnique; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); ENSAE Paris; Leibniz Association; DIW Berlin - Deutsches Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung
摘要:Job vacancy referrals are a common active labour market policy measure. Unemployment insurance agencies may combat moral hazard by punishing refusals to apply to assigned vacancies. During sickness spells, minimum requirements on search behaviour do not apply. This may reduce the threat effect of sanctions. We study effects of vacancy referrals and sanctions on unemployment duration and job match quality. We find that a vacancy referral increases the transition rate into work. We also find a p...
-
作者:Gallice, Andrea; Monzon, Ignacio
作者单位:University of Turin; Collegio Carlo Alberto
摘要:We present a natural environment that sustains full co-operation in one-shot social dilemmas among a finite number of self-interested agents. Players sequentially decide whether to contribute to a public good. They do not know their position in the sequence, but observe the actions of some predecessors. Since agents realise that their own action may be observed, they have an incentive to contribute in order to induce potential successors to also do so. Full contribution can then emerge in equi...
-
作者:Evans, George W.; Guesnerie, Roger; McGough, Bruce
作者单位:University of Oregon; University of St Andrews; Paris School of Economics; Universite PSL; College de France
摘要:Within the standard real business cycle model, we examine issues of expectational coordination on the unique rational expectations equilibrium. We show sensitivity of agents' plans and decisions to their short-run and long-run expectations is too great to trigger eductive coordination in a world of rational agents who are endowed with knowledge of the economic structure and contemplate the possibility of small deviations from equilibrium: eductive stability never obtains. We conclude adaptive ...