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作者：Nicholls, Geoff K.; Lee, Jeong Eun; Karn, Nicholas; Johnson, David; Huang, Rukuang; Muir-Watt, Alexis
作者单位：University of Oxford; University of Auckland; University of Southampton; University of Oxford; University of Oxford
摘要：In the eleventh and twelfth centuries in England, Wales and Normandy, royal acta were legal documents in which witnesses were listed in order of social status. Any bishops present were listed as a group. For our purposes each witness-list is an ordered permutation of bishop names with a known date or date-range. Changes over time in the order bishops are listed may reflect changes in their authority. Historians would like to detect and quantify these changes. There is no reason to assume that ...
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作者：Yan, Shen; Burgos Jr, Adrian; Kinson, Christopher; Eck, Daniel J.
作者单位：University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
摘要：A new methodological framework suitable for era-adjusting baseball statistics is developed in this article. Within this methodological framework specific models are motivated. We call these models Full House Models. Full House Models work by balancing the achievements of Major League Baseball (MLB) players within a given season and the size of the MLB talent pool from which a player came. We demonstrate the utility of Full House Models in an application of comparing baseball players' performan...
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作者：Ertefaie, Ashkan; Hsu, Jesse Y.; Harding, Harding; Morenoff, Jeffrey; Small, Dylan S.
作者单位：University of Pennsylvania; University of California System; University of California Berkeley; University of Michigan System; University of Michigan; University of Pennsylvania
摘要：This article discusses a sensitivity analysis for an instrumental variable (IV) estimate in the presence of many instruments that are weakly associated with the endogenous variable. We study the effect of imprisonment on earnings using data on individuals sentenced for felony in Michigan in the years 2003-2006. Motivated by the random assignment of judges to cases, we construct a vector of instruments based on judges' ID. Our data has two important features that cannot be handled using standar...
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作者：Hu, Guanyu; Chen, Ming-Hui; Ma, Zhihua
作者单位：University of Texas System; University of Texas Health Science Center Houston; University of Connecticut; Shenzhen University
摘要：Social survey data are often collected from different survey centers in different regions. In some circumstances the response variables are completely observed while the covariates have missing values. In addition, the missing data patterns will vary in different geographical locations. In this article an ordinal response regression model with a log linear model for the cutpointsis extended to fit the spatial ordinal response data with missing covariates within a Bayesian framework. A signed-s...
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作者：Xu, Jiaze; Pand, Changzai; Deng, Ke
作者单位：Tsinghua University; Tsinghua University; Tsinghua University
摘要：Processing domain-specific Chinese texts is one of the most challenging tasks in natural language processing (NLP) due to the unique characteristics of Chinese and specific challenges in processing domain-specific texts. Existing NLP methods, based on supervised learning or large language models, often suffer from unstable performance in processing domain-specific Chinese texts. In this study we propose a novel statistical approach called TopWORDS-MEPA (Abbreviated as TWM) that can achieve hig...
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作者：Zhu, Bencong; Hu, Guanyu; Xu, Lin; Fan, Xiaodan; Li, Qiwei
作者单位：Chinese University of Hong Kong; University of Texas System; University of Texas Health Science Center Houston; University of Texas School Public Health; University of Texas System; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center; University of Texas System; University of Texas Dallas
摘要：The advent of next-generation sequencing-based spatially resolved transcriptomics (SRT) techniques has reshaped genomic studies by enabling high-throughput gene expression profiling while preserving spatial context. Nevertheless, inherent challenges associated with these new high-dimensional spatial data (e.g., zero inflation) pose obstacles to effective clustering, a fundamental problem in SRT data analysis. Current computational approaches often rely on heuristic data preprocessing and arbit...
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作者：Pajor, Anna; Kwiatkowski, Lukasz; Wroblewska, Justyna
作者单位：Cracow University of Economics; Cracow University of Economics
摘要：We check whether taking into account long-term relationships in heteroscedastic VAR models affects their predictive performance before and during the Covid-19 pandemic. Also, we examine whether the predictions can benefit from suspending posterior updates at some point. Empirical analysis covers five different economies and uses Bayesian VAR/VEC models with volatility specifications combining stochastic volatility and GARCH processes. It emerges that, while accounting for cointegration relatio...
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作者：Forastiere, Laura; Mattei, Alessandra; Pescarini, Julia M.; Barreto, Mauricio L.; Mealli, Fabrizia
作者单位：Yale University; University of Florence; University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; Universidade Federal da Bahia; European University Institute
摘要：The Brazil Bolsa Fam & iacute;lia program is a conditional cash transfer program aimed to reduce short-term poverty by direct cash transfers and to fight longterm poverty by increasing human capital among Brazilian households with low income. Eligibility for Bolsa Fam & iacute;lia benefits depends on a cutoff rule, which classifies it as a regression discontinuity (RD) design. Following Li, Mattei and Mealli (2015) and Branson and Mealli (2019), we formally describe the Bolsa Fam & iacute;lia ...
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作者：Kunihama, Tsuyoshi; Li, Zehang Richard; Clark, Samuel J.; McCormick, Tyler H.
作者单位：Kwansei Gakuin University; University of California System; University of California Santa Cruz; University System of Ohio; Ohio State University; University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle; University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle
摘要：Verbal autopsies (VAs) are extensively used to investigate the populationlevel distributions of deaths by cause in low-resource settings without wellorganized vital statistics systems. Computer-based methods are often adopted to assign causes of death to deceased individuals based on the interview responses of their family members or caregivers. In this article we develop a new Bayesian approach that extracts information about cause-of-death distributions from VA data considering the age- and ...
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作者：Zhang, Boyang; Nyquist, Sarah; Jones, Andrew; Engelhardt, Barbara E.; Li, Didong
作者单位：Stanford University; Stanford Medicine; University of California System; University of California San Francisco; The J David Gladstone Institutes; Princeton University; Stanford University; Stanford University; University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill
摘要：Contrastive dimension reduction methods have been developed for case-control study data to identify variation that is enriched in the foreground(case) dataXrelative to the background (control) dataY. Here we developcontrastive regression for the setting where there is a response variableras-sociated with each foreground observation. This situation occurs frequentlywhen, for example, the unaffected controls do not have a disease grade or in-tervention dosage, but the affected cases have a disea...
