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作者：Ciani, Andrea; Mau, Karsten
作者单位：European Commission Joint Research Centre; EC JRC ISPRA Site; Maastricht University
摘要：This paper investigates the role of timely delivery in international competition. Using a demand-side, industry -specific measure of time-sensitivity, we assess the effect of Chinese competition on the export performance of Eastern European transition economies into Western European (EU15) destination-product markets. Our empirical analysis relies on exploiting the increase of Chinese competition in global markets during the first decade of the 2000s. We find evidence of heterogeneous adjustme...
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作者：Daniele, Gianmarco; Le Moglie, Marco; Masera, Federico
作者单位：Catholic University of the Sacred Heart; University of New South Wales Sydney
摘要：In this paper, we study how a positive economic shock to an illicit industry might foster migration. In 2010, a series of reforms to the U.S. health care system resulted in a shift in demand from legal opiates to heroin. This demand shock had considerable effects on Mexico, the main supplier of heroin consumed in the United States. We exploit variation in potential opium production at the municipal level in a difference-in-differences (DID) framework, which compares Mexican municipalities with...
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作者：Grigoli, Francesco; Luttini, Emiliano; Sandri, Damiano
作者单位：International Monetary Fund; Central Bank of Chile; Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR)
摘要：This paper provides the first assessment of the contribution of idiosyncratic shocks to aggregate fluctuations in an emerging market using confidential data on the universe of Chilean firms. We find that idiosyncratic shocks account for more than 40 percent of the volatility of aggregate sales. Although quite large, this contribution is smaller than documented in previous studies based on advanced economies, despite a higher degree of market concentration in Chile. We show that this finding is...
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作者：Zhang, Junsen; Zhou, Kang
作者单位：Zhejiang University; Chinese University of Hong Kong; Chinese University of Hong Kong; Zhejiang University
摘要：This paper uses the exposure of 16-year-old cohorts to an exogenous elimination of export quotas to explore the short-run schooling consequence of destination-specific export expansions and the longer-run effects on adult outcomes. We find that export expansions to rich-country markets resulted in substantially higher high school enrollment rates. The expansions disproportionately favored urban children and children in regions with lower initial skill endowment. Subsequently, the effects trans...
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作者：Verwimp, Philip
作者单位：Universite Libre de Bruxelles; Solvay SA
摘要：The northern provinces of Burundi have suffered from subordination in the education system since independence. This paper shows that the post-war, northern-led regime has chosen a drastic way to reverse that subordination. The national test (Concours National) at the end of primary school is at the heart of the matter. Using the universe of individual test score data which can be used to construct a school-level panel and applying difference-in-differences analysis, the paper shows strong impr...
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作者：Hu, Zhi-An; Li, Jinghong; Nie, Zhuo
作者单位：Central University of Finance & Economics; Peking University; University of International Business & Economics
摘要：This study examines the long-term effect of aid on bilateral trade and provides a new mechanism that aid fosters intergroup affinity. Our empirical setting is the Soviet aid to China during the 1950s under the 156 Program, which allowed numerous large industrial plants to be constructed. Using a difference-in-differences framework, we find that Chinese cities which received more aid through the program, trade more with Russia than with other countries in the 2000s, despite the Sino-Russian spl...
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作者：Dyer, Julian; Shapiro, Jeremy
作者单位：University of Exeter
摘要：Irrigation is a potentially effective technology to improve agricultural incomes in Sub-Saharan Africa, and hand powered irrigation pumps have received significant interest and investment as a solution appropriate to small-scale farmers in this context. This paper describes the results of an RCT impact evaluation of household irrigation pumps in Kenya, where we randomly allocated free pumps to the female head of household via public lotteries. After two years farmers are still making significa...
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作者：Gine, Xavier; Goldberg, Jessica
作者单位：The World Bank; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park
摘要：Fifty-three percent of subjects who owned a high-fee account with a local bank in Malawi did not switch to a new, lower-fee account when given the choice. In contrast, holders of high-fee accounts who had been induced to make more transactions in the past were significantly more likely to adopt the new, cheaper account. Using estimates from a structural model, we find that the different propensity to switch is better explained by differences in the valuation of the new account rather than diff...
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作者：Czura, Kristina; Klonner, Stefan
作者单位：University of Groningen; Ruprecht Karls University Heidelberg
摘要：We examine changes in financial allocations in Rotating Savings and Credit Associations (Roscas), a popular group-based financial institution world-wide, in the aftermath of the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. With financial data from locations along the South Indian coast we estimate the causal effect of this major natural disaster on financial flows between occupational groups, the price of credit and other loan characteristics. We find that the supply of funds in these credit networks remained r...
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作者：Wang, Lei; Qian, Yiwei; Warrinnier, Nele; Attanasio, Orazio; Rozelle, Scott; Sylvia, Sean
作者单位：Shaanxi Normal University; Southwestern University of Finance & Economics - China; The World Bank; KU Leuven; Yale University; Norwegian School of Economics (NHH); Stanford University; University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; University of North Carolina School of Medicine; University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; University of North Carolina School of Medicine
摘要：We present evidence from a randomised experiment testing the impacts of a six-month early childhood home visiting program on child outcomes and parental investment behaviour at school entry. Two and a half years after completion of the program, we find large persistent effects on parental investment at home, as well as large effects on preschool enrolment. Children in treatment villages were enrolled earlier and in higher quality preschools, the latter reflecting a shift in preferences over pr...
