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作者：Bahar, Dany; Hauptmann, Andreas; Ozguzel, Cem; Rapoport, Hillel
作者单位：Brown University; IZA Institute Labor Economics; Organisation for Economic Co-operation & Development (OECD); Paris School of Economics; Universite Paris Cite
摘要：During the early 1990s, Germany offered temporary protection to 700,000 Yugoslavian refugees fleeing war. By 2000, many had been repatriated. We exploit this natural experiment to investigate the role of returning migrants in boosting export performance upon their return. Using confidential German administrative data, we find that industries with 10% more returning refugees exhibit larger exports between the pre- and postwar periods by 1% to 1.6%. We use exogenous allocation rules for asylum s...
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作者：Frias, Judith A.; Kaplan, David S.; Verhoogen, Eric; Alfaro-Serrano, David
作者单位：Inter-American Development Bank; Columbia University; Cornerstone Research
摘要：This paper draws on employer-employee and longitudinal plant data from Mexico to investigate the impact of exports on wage premiums, defined as wages above what workers would receive elsewhere in the labor market. We decompose plant-level average wages into a component reflecting skill composition and a component reflecting wage premiums. Using the late-1994 peso devaluation interacted with initial export propensity as a source of exogenous changes in exports, we find that exports have a signi...
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作者：Qu, Zhongjun; Yoon, Jungmo; Perron, Pierre
作者单位：Boston University; Hanyang University
摘要：We propose methods to estimate and make inferences on conditional quantile processes for models with both nonparametric and (locally or globally) linear components. We derive their asymptotic properties, optimal bandwidths, and uniform confidence bands over quantiles allowing for robust bias correction. Our framework covers the sharp regression discontinuity design, which is used to study the effects of unemployment insurance benefits extensions, focusing on heterogeneity over quantiles and co...
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作者：Couttenier, Mathieu; Hatte, Sophie; Thoenig, Mathias; Vlachos, Stephanos
作者单位：Ecole Normale Superieure de Lyon (ENS de LYON); University of Lausanne; University of Vienna
摘要：We study how news coverage of immigrant criminality impacts voting in one of the most controversial referendums in recent years-the 2009 Swiss minaret ban. We combine a comprehensive crime detection data set with detailed information on newspaper coverage. We first document a large upward distortion in media reporting of immigrant crime during the prereferendum period. Exploiting quasi-random variations in crime incidence, we find a positive first-order effect of news coverage on support for t...
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作者：Boxell, Levi; Gentzkow, Matthew; Shapiro, Jesse M.
作者单位：Stanford University; National Bureau of Economic Research; Harvard University
摘要：We measure trends in affective polarization in twelve OECD countries over the past four decades. According to our baseline estimates, the United States experienced the largest increase in polarization over this period. Five countries experienced a smaller increase in polarization. Six countries experienced a decrease in polarization. We relate trends in polarization to trends in potential explanatory factors.
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作者：Dahl, Gordon B.; Kreiner, Claus Thustrup; Nielsen, Torben Heien; Serena, Benjamin Ly
作者单位：University of California System; University of California San Diego; University of Copenhagen; Copenhagen Business School
摘要：We provide a novel decomposition of changing gaps in life expectancy between rich and poor into differential changes in age-specific mortality rates and differences in survivability. Declining age-specific mortality rates increases life expectancy, but the gain is small if the likelihood of living to this age is small (ex ante survivability) or if the expected remaining lifetime is short (ex post survivability). Lower survivability of the poor explains half of the recent rise in inequality in ...
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作者：Jin, Miao; Liu, Yu-Jane; Meng, Juanjuan; Zhang, Yu
作者单位：Renmin University of China; Peking University
摘要：We use matched employer-employee data to study the role of the firm in the transmission of income growth into consumption growth. We find that growth in income relative to the firm average (the within-firm component) translates significantly less into consumption than growth in firm average income (the between-firm component). These findings are explained by the lower persistence of the within-firm component of income, better self-insurance for workers more exposed to variations in income grow...
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作者：Jiang, Liang; Liu, Xiaobin; Phillips, Peter C. B.; Zhang, Yichong
作者单位：Fudan University; Sun Yat Sen University; Yale University; University of Auckland; Singapore Management University
摘要：This paper examines methods of inference concerning quantile treatment effects (QTEs) in randomized experiments with matched-pairs designs (MPDs). Standard multiplier bootstrap inference fails to capture the negative dependence of observations within each pair and is therefore conservative. Analytical inference involves estimating multiple functional quantities that require several tuning parameters. Instead, this paper proposes two bootstrap methods that can consistently approximate the limit...
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作者：Baumeister, Christiane; Leiva-Leon, Danilo; Sims, Eric
作者单位：University of Pretoria; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; European Central Bank; University of Notre Dame; National Bureau of Economic Research
摘要：This paper develops a novel dataset of weekly economic conditions indices for the 50 U.S. states going back to 1987 based on mixed-frequency dynamic factor models with weekly, monthly, and quarterly variables that cover multiple dimensions of state economies. We find considerable cross-state heterogeneity in the length, depth, and timing of business cycles. We illustrate the usefulness of these state-level indices for quantifying the main contributors to the economic collapse caused by the COV...
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作者：Dursun, Bahadir; Eren, Ozkan; Nguyen, My
作者单位：Newcastle University - UK; University of California System; University of California Riverside; Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh City (VNUHCM) System
摘要：This paper examines the effects of high school curriculum reforms on infant health by exploiting sharp and staggered changes across states in core course requirements for graduation. Our results suggest that curriculum reforms significantly reduced the incidence of low birthweight and prematurity for black mothers. For white mothers, the estimated effects are small and generally insignificant. We also explore the mechanisms for observed effects and provide evidence consistent with our explanat...
