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作者：Spenkuch, Joerg L.
作者单位：Northwestern University
摘要：Whether individuals vote strategically is one of the most important questions at the intersection of economics and political science. Exploiting a flaw in the German electoral system by which a party may gain seats by receiving fewer votes, this article documents patterns of preference misrepresentation in a large, real-world election. During the 2005 elections to the Bundestag, the sudden death of a right-wing candidate necessitated a by-election in one electoral district. Knowing the results...
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作者：Binswanger, Johannes; Oechslin, Manuel
作者单位：Tilburg University; University of Lucerne
摘要：When it comes to economic reforms in developing countries, many economists agree on broad objectives. Broad objectives, however, can be pursued in different ways, and policy experimentation is often indispensable for learning which alternative works locally. We propose a theoretical model to study this societal learning process. The model explores the role of disagreeing beliefs about what works'. It suggests that such disagreement can stall the societal learning process and cause economic sta...
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作者：Cripps, Martin; Galeotti, Andrea; Griffith, Rachel; Ravn, Morten; Salvanes, Kjell; Vermeulen, Frederic; Mayes, David; Seavers, Stephanie
作者单位：University of London; University College London; University of Essex; University of Manchester; Norwegian School of Economics (NHH); KU Leuven; University of Auckland; University of London; London School Economics & Political Science
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作者：Gordon, Sidartha; Riboni, Alessandro
作者单位：Universite PSL; Universite Paris-Dauphine; Institut Polytechnique de Paris; Ecole Polytechnique
摘要：We consider a conflict under incomplete information where two opponents fight to impose their preferred policy. Before the conflict, one opponent (the agent) trusts the information received by his principal. Under some conditions, the principal induces hawkish attitudes in the agent: the agent never doubts the optimality of his preferred policy, conflicts are violent, and bad decisions are sometimes made. Under other conditions, the agent believes that his opponent may be right, even when all ...
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作者：Trautmann, Stefan T.; van de Kuilen, Gijs
作者单位：Ruprecht Karls University Heidelberg; Tilburg University
摘要：We pit non-incentivised introspection against five revealed preference mechanisms ('truth serums') in the elicitation of beliefs in a simple two-player game. We measure the additivity, the predictive power for own behaviour and the accuracy of each method. Beliefs from incentivised methods are better predictors of participants' own behaviour compared to introspection. However, introspection performs equally well as the truth serums in terms of accuracy and additivity. We also find that correct...
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作者：Gong, Erick
作者单位：Middlebury College
摘要：Using a study that randomly assigns HIV testing in two sites in sub-Saharan Africa, I examine the effects of testing on sexual behaviour. Using sexually transmitted infections as markers of risky sex, I find behavioural responses to HIV tests when tests provide unexpected information. Individuals surprised by an HIV-positive (HIV-negative) test increase (decrease) their risky sexual behaviour. I simulate the effects of testing and find under certain conditions, new HIV infections increase when...
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作者：Ooghe, Erwin; Peichl, Andreas
作者单位：Leibniz Association; Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW); University of Mannheim; KU Leuven; KU Leuven; IZA Institute Labor Economics; University of Mannheim
摘要：We study fair and efficient tax-benefit schemes based on income and non-income factors under partial control. Partial control means that each factor is a specific mixture of unobserved ability (randomly drawn by nature) and effort (chosen by individuals who differ in tastes). Factors differ in the degree of control, ranging from no control (only ability matters) to full control (only effort matters). Fairness requires compensating individuals for differences in abilities but not for difference...
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作者：Currie, Janet; Duque, Valentina; Garfinkel, Irwin
作者单位：Princeton University; Columbia University
摘要：We use longitudinal data from the Fragile Families and Child Well-being Study to investigate the impacts of the Great Recession on the health of mothers. We focus on a wide range of physical and mental health outcomes, as well as health behaviour. We find that increases in the unemployment rate decrease self-reported health status and increase smoking and drug use. We also find evidence of heterogeneous impacts. Disadvantaged mothers - African American, Hispanic, less educated and unmarried - ...
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作者：Yu, Miaojie
作者单位：Peking University
摘要：This article explores how reductions in tariffs on imported inputs and final goods affect the productivity of large Chinese trading firms, with the special tariff treatment that processing firms receive on imported inputs. Firm-level input and output tariffs are constructed. Both types of tariff reductions have positive impacts on productivity that are weaker as firms' share of processing imports grows. The impact of input tariff reductions on productivity improvement, overall, is weaker than ...
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作者：Pencavel, John
作者单位：Stanford University
摘要：In The General Theory, Keynes advanced two hypotheses about movements in wages and urged their empirical investigation. John Dunlop, Lorie Tarshis and Henry Richardson responded to this call with articles published in the Economic Journal in the late 1930s. In turn, Keynes replied to their findings. This exchange is described and the subsequent literature on the cyclical movement of real wages and the rigidity of money wages is outlined. Dunlop, J.T. (1938). The movement of real and money wage...
