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作者:Bernheim, B. Douglas; Rangel, Antonio
作者单位:Stanford University; California Institute of Technology
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作者:Hansen, Lars Peter
作者单位:University of Chicago
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作者:Bloch, Francis; Genicot, Garance; Ray, Debraj
作者单位:Aix-Marseille Universite; Georgetown University; New York University
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作者:Lubik, Thomas A.; Schorfheide, Frank
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Richmond; University of Pennsylvania
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作者:Moscarini, Giuseppe
摘要:The (reputation for) competence of a central bank at doing its job makes monetary policy under discretion credible and transparent. Based on its reading of the state of the economy, the central bank announces its policy intentions to the public in a cheap-talk game. The precision of its private signal measures its competence. The fineness of the equilibrium message space measures its credibility and transparency. This is increasing in the competence/inflation bias ratio: the public expects a c...
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作者:Lichtenberg, Frank R.
作者单位:Columbia University
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作者:Hendershott, Terrence; Seasholes, Mark S.
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Berkeley
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作者:Lustig, Hanno; Verdelhan, Adrien
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Los Angeles; National Bureau of Economic Research; Boston University
摘要:Aggregate consumption growth risk explains why low interest rate currencies do not appreciate as much as the interest rate differential and why high interest rate currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. Domestic investors earn negative excess returns on low interest rate currency portfolios and positive excess returns on high interest rate currency portfolios. Because high interest rate currencies depreciate on average when domestic consumption growth is low and...
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作者:Rose, Andrew K.
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Berkeley
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作者:Alesina, Alberto; Fuchs-Schuendeln, Nicola
作者单位:Harvard University