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作者:Arnold Tom; Hersch, Philip; Mulherin, J. Harold; Netter, Jeffry
作者单位:University System of Georgia; University of Georgia
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作者:Berlin, Mitchell; Mester, Loretta J.
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Philadelphia
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作者:Eom, Young Ho
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - New York
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作者:Goetzmann, William; Jorion, Philippe
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Irvine
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作者:Myers, Stewart C.; Rajan, Raghuram G.
作者单位:University of Chicago
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作者:Patelis, AD
摘要:This article examines whether shifts in the stance of monetary policy can account for the observed predictability in excess stock returns. Using long-horizon regressions and short-horizon vector autoregressions, the article concludes that monetary policy variables are significant predictors of future returns, although they cannot fully account for observed stack return predictability. I undertake variance decompositions to investigate how monetary policy affects the individual components of ex...
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作者:Roma, A; Torous, W
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Los Angeles
摘要:This article investigates the behavior of the term structure of interest rates over the business cycle. In contrast to prior studies that measure the business cycle by the simple growth in aggregate economic activity, we consider the deviation of aggregate economic activity from its potentially stochastic trend. We show that incorporating both an independent trend and cyclical component in consumption improves the efficiency in estimating consumption-based asset pricing models. We also find th...
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作者:Blume, Marshall E.; Goldstein, Michael A.
作者单位:University of Pennsylvania
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作者:Daniel, Kent; Grinblatt, Mark; Titman, Sheridan; Wermers, Russ
作者单位:Northwestern University
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作者:Gneezy, Uri; Potters, Jan
作者单位:Tilburg University