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作者:L'Huillier, Jean-Paul; Phelan, Gregory; Wieman, Hunter
作者单位:Brandeis University; Williams College; Princeton University; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Cleveland
摘要:Big technological improvements in a new, secondary sector lead to a period of excitement about the future prospects of the overall economy, generating boom-bust dynamics propagating through credit markets. Increased future capital prices relax collateral constraints today, leading to a boom before the realisation of the shock. But reallocation of capital toward the secondary sector when the shock hits leads to a bust going forward. These cycles are perfectly foreseen in our model, making them ...
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作者:Giuntella, Osea; Lu, Yi; Wang, Tianyi
作者单位:Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); University of Pittsburgh; IZA Institute Labor Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research; Tsinghua University; University of Toronto; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); University of Pittsburgh
摘要:We analyse the effects of exposure to industrial robots on labour market adjustments, exploring longitudinal household data from China. We find that a one-standard-deviation increase in robot exposure led to a decline in labour force participation (-1%), employment (-7%) and hourly earnings (-8%) of Chinese workers. At the same time, among those who kept working, robot exposure increased the number of hours worked by 8%. These effects were concentrated among the less educated and larger among ...
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作者:Sandner, Malte; Thomsen, Stephan L.; Gonzalez, Libertad
作者单位:Leibniz University Hannover; IZA Institute Labor Economics; Leibniz Association; Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW); Pompeu Fabra University; Barcelona School of Economics
摘要:We investigate the impact of public childcare provision on the incidence of severe child maltreatment. For identification, we exploit a reform that expanded early childcare in Germany, generating large temporal and spatial variation in childcare coverage at the county level. Using high-quality administrative data covering all reported cases of child maltreatment in Germany by county and year, we find that an increase in childcare slots by one percentage point in a county reduced child maltreat...
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作者:Theloudis, Alexandros; Velilla, Jorge; Chiappori, Pierre-Andre; Gimenez-Nadal, Jose Ignacio; Molina, Jose Alberto
作者单位:Tilburg University; University of Zaragoza; Columbia University
摘要:The extent to which individuals commit to their partner for life has important implications. This paper develops a life-cycle collective model of the household, through which it characterises behaviour in three prominent alternative types of commitment: full, limited and no commitment. We propose a test that distinguishes between all three types based on how contemporaneous and historical news affect household behaviour. Our test permits heterogeneity in the degree of commitment across househo...
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作者:Abraham, Filip; Bormans, Yannick; Konings, Jozef; Roeger, Werner
作者单位:KU Leuven; Vlerick Business School; Nazarbayev University; Leibniz Association; DIW Berlin - Deutsches Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung
摘要:This paper provides a new method to estimate price-cost margins in the presence of fixed costs of production. By exploiting properties of the primal and dual sales-based and cost-based Solow residuals, we are able to simultaneously estimate price-cost margins and the share of fixed costs in total costs for each input. Ignoring fixed costs in production underestimates price-cost margins and overestimates excess profit shares. Using a thirty-year panel of Belgian firms, we estimate price-cost ma...
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作者:Gerritsen, Aart; Jacobs, Bas; Spiritus, Kevin; Rusu, Alexandra, V
作者单位:Erasmus University Rotterdam - Excl Erasmus MC; Erasmus University Rotterdam; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Organisation for Economic Co-operation & Development (OECD)
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作者:Getik, Demid
作者单位:Durham University
摘要:The share of couples where the wife outearns the husband is increasing globally. In this paper, I examine how this dynamic affects mental health. Using data on the 2001 marital cohort in Sweden, I show that while mental health is positively associated with own and spousal income, it is negatively linked to the wife's relative income. In the most conservative specification, the wife starting to earn more increases the likelihood of a mental health diagnosis by 8%-11%. This represents a signific...
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作者:Cussen, Diego; Montero, Juan-Pablo
作者单位:New York University; Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile; Aalto University
摘要:Collusion is deemed unlikely in wholesale markets where upstream suppliers and intermediate buyers privately negotiate discounts off list prices and sales quotas are unfeasible. However, many wholesale markets include both small and large buyers who compete in the retail market. We study the role of publicly announced list prices in this wholesale-retail setting, whether suppliers collude or compete. When suppliers collude, public announcements of list prices extend the possibility of collusio...
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作者:Battiston, Giacomo; Daniele, Gianmarco; Le Moglie, Marco; Pinotti, Paolo
作者单位:University of Milan; Catholic University of the Sacred Heart; Bocconi University
摘要:We show that the Mexican war on drugs pushed drug cartels into large-scale oil theft. We propose a simple model in which government crackdowns on one criminal sector induce criminal organisations to invest in a new sector. When entering the new sector, challenger organisations with a residual share of the market in the traditional sector may leapfrog incumbent organisations. We bring the model to the data using detailed information on drug cartel presence, oil pipelines and illegal oil taps ac...
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作者:Riahi, Ideen A.
作者单位:City University of New York (CUNY) System; Baruch College (CUNY); City University of New York (CUNY) System
摘要:Advances in evolutionary theories (the Extended Synthesis) demonstrate that organisms systematically modify environments in ways that influence their own and other species' evolution. This paper utilises these theories to examine the economic consequences of human dispersal from Africa. Evidence shows that early humans' dispersal affected the adaptability of animal species to human environments and, through this, the extinction of large mammals during Homo sapiens' out-of-Africa migration. Emp...