Intergenerational Spillovers in Disability Insurance

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Dahl, Gordon B.; Gielen, Anne C.
• 署名单位: University of California System; University of California San Diego; Norwegian School of Economics (NHH); Erasmus University Rotterdam; Erasmus University Rotterdam - Excl Erasmus MC; Tinbergen Institute
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1945-7782
• DOI: 10.1257/app.20190544
• 发表日期: 2021
• 页码: 116-150
• 关键词: Regression discontinuity; income-tax; CHILDREN; benefits; receipt; IMPACT; unemployment; opportunity; earnings; program

摘要

Using a 1993 Dutch policy reform and a regression discontinuity design, we find children of parents whose disability insurance (DI) eligibility was reduced are 11 percent less likely to participate in DI themselves, do not alter their use of other government programs, and earn 2 percent more as adults. The reduced transfers and increased taxes of children account for 40 percent of the fiscal savings relative to parents in present discounted value terms. Moreover, children of treated parents complete more schooling, have a lower probability of serious criminal arrests and incarceration, and take fewer mental health drugs as adults.