Recessions, Mortality, and Migration Bias: Evidence from the Lancashire Cotton Famine

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Arthi, Vellore; Beach, Brian; Hanlon, W. Walker
• 署名单位: University of California System; University of California Irvine; National Bureau of Economic Research; Vanderbilt University; Northwestern University
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1945-7782
• DOI: 10.1257/app.20190131
• 发表日期: 2022
• 页码: 228-255
• 关键词: automated linking; time; POOR; relief; AGE

摘要

We examine the health effects of the Lancashire Cotton Famine, a sharp downturn in Britain's cotton textile manufacturing regions that was induced by the US Civil War. Migration was an important response to this downturn, but as we document, migration also introduces a number of empirical challenges, which we overcome by introducing a new methodological approach. Our results indicate that the recession increased mortality among households employed in the cotton textile industry. We also document localized spillover effects on households providing nontradable services in the areas affected by the recession.