Rational Inattention and the Business Cycle Effects of Productivity and News Shocks

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Mackowiak, Bartosz; Wiederholt, Mirko
• 署名单位: European Central Bank; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; University of Munich
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1945-7707
• DOI: 10.1257/mac.20220182
• 发表日期: 2025
• 页码: 274-309
• 关键词: expectations; DYNAMICS; prices; output; LABOR

摘要

We solve a real business cycle model with rational inattention (an RI-RBC model). In the RI-RBC model, the growth rates of employment, investment, and output are about as persistent as in the data, with an amount of inattention consistent with survey data on expectations. Moreover, consumption, employment, and output move in the same direction in response to news about future productivity. By contrast, the baseline RBC model produces neither persistent growth rates nor business cycle comovement after news shocks.