Disruptive technologies and the emergence of competition

成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
Adner, R; Zemsky, P
刊物名称:
RAND JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ISSN/ISSBN:
0741-6261
发表日期:
2005
页码:
229-254
关键词:
摘要:
We formalize the phenomenon of disruptive technologies that initially serve isolated market niches and, as they mature, alter industry boundaries by displacing established technologies from mainstream segments. Using a model of horizontal and vertical differentiation, we show how the threat of disruption depends on rates of technological advance, how many firms use each technology, relative market segment sizes, and firms' ability to price discriminate. We characterize the effect of disruption on prices, market shares, social welfare, and innovation incentives. We show that the possibility that mergers trigger disruption and thereby alter industry boundaries is important for assessing their impact on social welfare and profits.