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作者：Dao, Mai; Furceri, Davide; Loungani, Prakash
作者单位：International Monetary Fund
摘要：We present new evidence on the evolution of labor mobility in the United States over the past four decades. Building on the seminal methodology by Blanchard and Katz (1992), combined with multiple sources of regional population and migration data, we show that interstate mobility in response to relative labor demand conditions is not as high as previously established and has been weakening since the early 1990s. In addition, we find that mobility is countercyclical: net migration across region...
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作者：Keskin, Pinar; Shastry, Gauri Kartini; Willis, Helen
作者单位：Wellesley College; University of California System; University of California Berkeley
摘要：Decades of campaigns have cautioned households in Bangladesh about waterborne contaminants such as arsenic. In addition to switching water sources, mothers can protect young children from contaminated water by breastfeeding longer. We exploit time series variation in whether children were born before or after a nationwide information campaign and geographic variation in exposure to arsenic. We find that mothers breast-feed children longer in response to the campaign, especially when they have ...
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作者：Aker, Jenny C.; Collier, Paul; Vicente, Pedro C.
作者单位：Tufts University; University of Oxford; Universidade Nova de Lisboa
摘要：African elections often reveal low levels of political accountability. We assess different forms of voter education during an election in Mozambique. Three interventions providing information to voters and calling for their participation were randomized: an information campaign using SMS, an SMS hotline for electoral misconduct, and the distribution of a free newspaper. To measure impact, we look at official electoral results, reports by electoral observers, and behavioral and survey data. We ...
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作者：Brainerd, Elizabeth
作者单位：Brandeis University; IZA Institute Labor Economics
摘要：How does a shock to sex ratios affect marriage markets and fertility? I use the drastic change in sex ratios caused by World War II to identify the effects of unbalanced sex ratios on Russian women. Using unique archival data, the results indicate that male scarcity led to lower rates of marriage and fertility, higher nonmarital births, and reduced bargaining power within marriage for women most affected by war deaths. The impact of sex ratio imbalance on marriage and family persisted for year...
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作者：Byrne, David M.; Kovak, Brian K.; Michaels, Ryan
作者单位：Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve System Board of Governors; Carnegie Mellon University; National Bureau of Economic Research; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Philadelphia
摘要：Many markets exhibit price dispersion across suppliers of observationally identical goods. Statistical agencies typically assume this dispersion reflects unobserved quality, so standard price indexes do not incorporate price declines when buyers substitute toward lower-price suppliers. We show that long-run price differences across suppliers can be used to infer unobserved quality differences and propose an index that accommodates quality-adjusted price dispersion. Using transaction-level data...
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作者：Cornea-Madeira, Adriana
作者单位：University of York - UK
摘要：We derive the exact expression for the weights of the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter in a finite sample without making any assumptions about the statistical properties of the time series. We use the results to give insights into the properties of the HP filter and to build a fast algorithm with computational improvements by a factor of up to three times in samples typical in economics.
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作者：Blundell, Richard; Horowitz, Joel; Parey, Matthias
作者单位：University of London; University College London; University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; Northwestern University; University of Essex
摘要：We present a method for consistent nonparametric estimation of a demand function with nonseparable unobserved taste heterogeneity subject to the shape restriction implied by the Slutsky inequality. We use the method to estimate gasoline demand in the United States. The results reveal differences in behavior between heavy and moderate gasoline users. They also reveal variation in the responsiveness of demand to plausible changes in prices across the income distribution. We extend our estimation...
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作者：Mourifie, Ismael; Wan, Yuanyuan
作者单位：University of Toronto
摘要：In this paper, we propose an easy-to-implement procedure to test the key conditions for the identification and estimation of the local average treatment effect (LATE; Imbens & Angrist, 1994). We reformulate the testable implications of LATE assumptions as two conditional inequalities, which can be tested in the intersection bounds framework of Chernozhukov, Lee, and Rosen (2013) and easily implemented using the Stata package of Chernozhukov et al. (2015). We apply the proposed tests to the dra...
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作者：Antolin-Diaz, Juan; Drechsel, Thomas; Petrella, Ivan
作者单位：University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; University of Warwick; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; University of Warwick
摘要：Using a dynamic factor model that allows for changes in both the long-run growth rate of output and the volatility of business cycles, we document a significant decline in long-run output growth in the United States. Our evidence supports the view that most of this slowdown occurred prior to the Great Recession. We show how to use the model to decompose changes in long-run growth into its underlying drivers. At low frequencies, a decline in the growth rate of labor productivity appears to be b...
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作者：Karadja, Mounir; Mollerstrom, Johanna; Seim, David
作者单位：Uppsala University; Humboldt University of Berlin; Leibniz Association; DIW Berlin - Deutsches Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung; Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN); Stockholm University
摘要：We use a tailor-made survey on a Swedish sample to investigate how individuals' relative income affects their demand for redistribution. We first document that a majority misperceive their position in the income distribution and believe that they are poorer, relative to others, than they actually are. We then inform a subsample about their true relative income and find that individuals who are richer than they initially thought demand less redistribution. This result is driven by individuals w...
