-
作者:Nosal, Ed
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Chicago
-
作者:Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas
作者单位:Carnegie Mellon University
-
作者:Rocheteau, Guillaume; Rodriguez-Lopez, Antonio
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Irvine
摘要:The effective liquidity supply of the economy-the weighted-sum of all assets that serve as media of exchange matters for interest rates and unemployment. We formalize this idea by adding an over-the-counter market with collateralized trades to the Mortensen-Pissarides model. An increase in public liquidity through a higher supply of real government bonds raises the real interest rate, crowding out private liquidity and increasing unemployment. If unemployment is inefficiently high, keeping liq...
-
作者:Ni, Shawn; Seol, Youn
作者单位:University of Missouri System; University of Missouri Columbia; Kyungpook National University (KNU)
摘要:The monthly salaries and allowances of Korean government employees are known in advance but vary greatly throughout the year. Using a Korean monthly panel data set, the present study examines how nondurable consumption expenditures in households headed by government employees respond to predictable income changes. The study finds a moderate excess sensitivity in consumption that can be attributed to about 9% of the households. Further analysis shows that these 9% of the households have lower '...
-
作者:Bassett, William F.; Chosak, Mary Beth; Driscoll, John C.; Zakrajsek, Egon
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve System Board of Governors
摘要:Identifying macroeconomic effects of credit shocks is difficult because many of the same factors that influence the supply of loans also affect the demand for credit. Using bank-level responses to the Federal Reserve's Loan Officer Opinion Survey, we construct a new credit supply indicator: changes in lending standards, adjusted for the macroeconomic and bank-specific factors that also affect loan demand. Tightening shocks to this credit supply indicator lead to a substantial decline in output...
-
作者:Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca
作者单位:Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia; Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); Autonomous University of Barcelona; Barcelona School of Economics
摘要:Necessary and sufficient conditions under which a VAR contains sufficient information to estimate the structural shocks are derived. On the basis of this theoretical result we propose two simple tests to detect informational deficiency and a procedure to amend a deficient VAR. A simulation based on a DSGE model with fiscal foresight suggests that our method correctly identifies and fixes the informational problem. In an empirical application, we show that a bivariate VAR including unemployment...
-
作者:Aghion, Philippe; Hemous, David; Kharroubi, Enisse
作者单位:Harvard University; Bank for International Settlements (BIS); INSEAD Business School
摘要:What are the effects of cyclical fiscal policy on industry growth? We show that industries with a relatively heavier reliance on external finance or lower asset tangibility tend to grow faster (in terms of both value added and of labor productivity growth) in countries that implement fiscal policies that are more countercyclical. We reach this conclusion using Rajan and Zingales's (1998) difference-in-difference methodology on a panel data sample of manufacturing industries across 15 OECD coun...
-
作者:Lucas, Deborah
作者单位:Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
-
作者:Boz, Emine; Mendoza, Enrique G.
作者单位:International Monetary Fund; University of Pennsylvania; National Bureau of Economic Research
摘要:Financial innovation and overconfidence about the risk of new financial products were key factors behind the 2008 U.S. credit crisis. We show that a model with a collateral constraint in which learning about the risk of a new financial environment interacts with Fisherian amplification produces a boom-bust cycle in debt, asset prices and consumption. Early realizations of a high-borrowing-ability regime turn agents optimistic about the persistence probability of this regime. Conversely, the fi...
-
作者:Amador, Manuel
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Minneapolis