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作者：CUMBY, RE; HUIZINGA, J
作者单位：University of Chicago
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作者：STERN, S
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作者：AGHION, P; HOWITT, P
作者单位：Western University (University of Western Ontario)
摘要：A model of endogenous growth is developed in which vertical innovations, generated by a competitive research sector, constitute the underlying source of growth. Equilibrium is determined by a forward-looking difference equation, according to which the amount of research in any period depends upon the expected amount of research next period. One source of this intertemporal relationship is creative destruction. That is, the prospect of more future research discourages current research by threat...
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作者：MACHINA, MJ; SCHMEIDLER, D
作者单位：Tel Aviv University; University System of Ohio; Ohio State University
摘要：The goal of choice-theoretic derivations of subjective probability is to separate a decision maker's underlying beliefs (subjective probabilities of events) from their preferences (attitudes toward risk). Classical derivations have all relied upon some form of the Marschak-Samuelson Independence Axiom or the Savage Sure-Thing Principle, which imply that preferences over lotteries conform to the expected utility hypothesis. This paper presents a choice-theoretic derivation of subjective probabi...
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作者：ANDREWS, DWK
摘要：This paper establishes the asymptotic normality of series estimators for nonparametric regression models. Polynomial series estimators, trigonometric series estimators, and Gallant's Fourier flexible form estimators are prime examples of the estimators covered by the results. The results apply to a wide variety of estimands in the regression model under consideration, including derivatives and integrals of the regression function. The errors in the model may be homoskedastic or heteroskedastic...
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作者：CASE, AC
摘要：In this paper I discuss economic processes that may give rise to spatial patterns in data, and explore the relative merits of alternative modeling approaches when data are spatially correlated. Specifically, I present an estimation scheme that allows for spatial random effects, and focus attention on cases in which such a framework may be preferred to the more general fixed effects framework that nests it. I use the models presented, together with information on the location of households in a...
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作者：FRIEDMAN, D
摘要：Evolutionary games are introduced as models for repeated anonymous strategic interaction. The basic idea is that actions (or behaviors) which are more fit, given the current distribution of behaviors, tend over time to displace less fit behaviors. Simple numerical examples motivate the key concepts of fitness function and compatible dynamics, and illustrate the relation to previous biological models. Cone fields are introduced to characterize the continuous-time dynamical processes compatible ...
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作者：ERICSSON, NR
摘要：Using Monte Carlo methodology, this paper investigates the effect of dynamics and simultaneity on the finite sample properties of instrumental variables statistics for testing nested and non-nested hypotheses. Simple numerical-analytical formulae (response surfaces) are obtained which closely approximate the statistics' unknown size and power functions for a dynamic simultaneous equations model. The analysis illustrates the value and limitations of asymptotic theory in interpreting finite samp...
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作者：MAGNAC, T
摘要：We develop an integrated microeconomic model derived from a labor supply model in a four-sector labor market with explicit demand constraints. This method allows us to test several assumptions on labor market equilibria: strongly or weakly competitive or segmented. We show that more important a feature of labor markets than segmentation is the presence of comparative advantages for individuals between the various economic sectors. The model is applied to data on women's labor force participati...
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作者：LO, AW
摘要：A test for long-run memory that is robust to short-range dependence is developed. It is an extension of the range over standard deviation or R/S statistic, for which the relevant asymptotic sampling theory is derived via functional central limit theory. This test is applied to daily and monthly stock returns indexes over several time periods and, contrary to previous findings, there is no evidence of long-range dependence in any of the indexes over any sample period or sub-period once short-ra...
