Potential yield and food provisioning gains from rebuilding the world's coral reef fish stocks

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Zamborain-Mason, Jessica; Cinner, Joshua E.; Macneil, M. Aaron; Beger, Maria; Booth, David; Ferse, Sebastian C. A.; Golden, Christopher D.; Graham, Nicholas A. J.; Hoey, Andrew S.; Mouillot, David; Connolly, Sean R.
• 署名单位: King Abdullah University of Science & Technology; Harvard University; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Lancaster University; James Cook University; University of Sydney; Dalhousie University; University of Leeds; University of Queensland; University of Technology Sydney; Leibniz Association; Leibniz Zentrum fur Marine Tropenforschung (ZMT); University of Bremen; Ifremer; Universite de Montpellier; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Smithsonian Institution; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
• 刊物名称: PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0027-8424; 1091-6490
• DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2508805122
• 发表日期: 2025-12-23
• 页码: e2508805122
• 关键词: Food security; multispecies fisheries; coral reeffish; sustainable yield; recovery potential; ecosystem services; management; fisheries; aquaculture; RECOVERY; benefits; FUTURE

摘要

Many coral reefs have fish stocks that are depleted below the level at which sustainable production is maximized. Lower production means that millions of people are losing out on potential food, income, and livelihoods. Rebuilding these stocks to maximize sustainable production can contribute toward ending hunger and malnutrition but requires active and effective fisheries management. Yet, for fish stock recovery plans to be implemented, recovery benefits, targets, and timeframes need to be quantified. Here, using 1,211 individual reef sites and 23 jurisdictions identified globally as being below maximum sustainable production levels, we show that reefs have the potential to increase sustainable yields by nearly 50% if allowed to recover toward their maximum production levels. For individual jurisdictions, this recovery represents from 20,000 up to 162 million additional sustainable servings of reef fish per year in comparison to current sustainable production, meeting recommended seafood intake for up to 1.4 million additional people a year. However, such growth and food provisioning will require fish stocks to double their standing biomass (increase by a median of 32 t/km2). Recovery timeframes range from 6.4 y under the most stringent scenario (a moratorium) to 49.7 y under the maximum harvest scenario that results in recovery. We find that locations with the greatest potential for sustainable gains in yield are among those with the greatest food and micronutrient deficiencies, underscoring both the challenges and opportunities in recovering fish assemblages to achieve their maximum sustainable potential.