Exports and intergenerational mobility

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Mitra, Devashish; Pham, Hoang; Marchand, Beyza Ural
• 署名单位: Syracuse University; Oregon State University; University of Alberta
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2026.104239
• 发表日期: 2026
• 关键词: occupational-mobility; UNITED-STATES; trade liberalization; wage inequality; income mobility; impacts; Vietnam; TRENDS; GLOBALIZATION; neighborhoods

摘要

Using eight rounds of the Vietnam Household Living Standards Surveys spanning 16 years and exploiting the US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) in 2001, we investigate the impact of this large export shock on intergenerational occupational mobility. The BTA has, on average, led to greater upward absolute occupational mobility among sons and daughters, with effects following roughly a U-shape by age for sons and an inverse-U for daughters. However, relative occupational mobility, inversely related to the gradient of the child's occupational rank as a function of the parent's, decreased on average as a result of the BTA, with this effect also varying across age groups. While the BTA improved occupational mobility for an average child, children born to top-ranked parents benefited disproportionately. Also, the BTA increased human capital investment in college education across genders and vocational training for sons. Furthermore, higher individual and initial province-level human capital facilitated this mobility.