Seizing central bank assets?☆,☆☆,*

成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
Minesso, Massimo Ferrari; Krahnke, Tobias; Mehl, Arnaud; Vansteenkiste, Isabel
署名单位:
European Central Bank; International Monetary Fund
刊物名称:
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
ISSN/ISSBN:
0022-1996
DOI:
10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104207
发表日期:
2026
关键词:
Economic sanctions monetary-policy TRADE
摘要:
We study the global impacts of sanctions on central bank assets. We build a database on freezes and seizures of central bank assets spanning 1914-2024. We show that the scale of the freeze on today's Central Bank of Russia's assets is rarely seen in history and that non-belligerent countries have never seized central bank assets to finance reconstruction in a third country in an ongoing war. We propose a three-country DSGE model to understand the global impacts of sanctions on central bank assets and tease out the macroeconomic mechanisms. One insight of the model is that seizing central bank assets can result in adverse effects on the sanctioning country in general equilibrium. Calibrated model simulations suggest that seizing Russia's immobilized sovereign assets could result in higher interest rates on sanctioning countries' government bonds. The increase in interest rate payments could surpass the assets' amount seized after about three years.