Not a border crisis, but a labor market crisis: The often overlooked pull factor of US border crossings
成果类型：
Article
署名作者：
Bahar, Dany
署名单位：
Brown University
刊物名称：
JOURNAL OF POLICY ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT
ISSN/ISSBN：
1520-6704
DOI：
10.1002/pam.22665
发表日期：
2025
页码：
674-680
关键词：
摘要：
This study investigates the link between Southwest U.S. border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000 to 2024). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings strongly align with greater job availability. Exploiting data across different presidential administrations reveals no statistically significant differences in this relationship, regardless of the President's party. The findings suggest a natural economic adjustment mechanism in which crossings naturally decrease as the labor market cools.
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