Is the threat of reemployment services more effective than the services themselves? Evidence from random assignment in the UI system

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Black, DA; Smith, JA; Berger, MC; Noel, BJ
• 署名单位: Syracuse University; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; University of Kentucky
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0002-8282
• DOI: 10.1257/000282803769206313
• 发表日期: 2003
• 页码: 1313-1327
• 关键词: unemployment-insurance; new-jersey; duration; IMPACT; BONUS; employers; benefits; search

摘要

We examine the effect of the Worker Profiling and Reemployment Services system. This program profiles Unemployment Insurance (UI) claimants to determine their probability of benefit exhaustion and then provides mandatory employment and training services to claimants with high predicted probabilities. Using a unique experimental design, we estimate that the program reduces mean weeks of UI benefit receipt by about 2.2 weeks, reduces mean UI benefits received by about $143, and increases subsequent earnings by over $1,050. Most of the effect results from a sharp increase in early UI exits in the treatment group relative to the control group.