Diffusing Coordination Risk

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Basak, Deepal; Zhou, Zhen
• 署名单位: Indian School of Business (ISB); Tsinghua University
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0002-8282
• DOI: 10.1257/aer.20171034
• 发表日期: 2020
• 页码: 271-297
• 关键词: Global games; equilibrium; MODEL

摘要

In a regime change game, privately informed agents sequentially decide whether to attack without observing others' previous actions. To dissuade them from attacking, a principal adopts a dynamic information disclosure policy, frequent viability tests. A viability test publicly discloses whether the regime has survived the previous attacks. When such tests are sufficiently frequent, in the unique cutoff equilibrium, agents never attack if the regime passes the latest test, regardless of their private signals. We apply this theory to demonstrate that a borrower can eliminate panic-based runs by sufficiently diffusing the rollover choices across different maturity dates.