Seeing What is Representative*

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Esponda, Ignacio; Oprea, Ryan; Yuksel, Sevgi
• 署名单位: University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara
• 刊物名称: QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0033-5533
• DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjad020
• 发表日期: 2023
• 页码: 2607-2657
• 关键词: 1ST IMPRESSIONS; DISCRIMINATION; BIAS; probability; JUDGMENT; beliefs; MODEL

摘要

We provide evidence for a bias that we call representative signal distortion (RSD), which is particularly relevant to settings of statistical discrimination. Experimental subjects distort their evaluation of new evidence on individual group members and interpret such information to be more representative of the group to which the individual belongs (relative to a reference group) than it really is. This produces a discriminatory gap in the evaluation of members of the two groups. Because it is driven by representativeness, the bias (and the discriminatory gap) disappears when subjects are prevented from contrasting different groups; because it is a bias in the interpretation of information, it disappears when subjects receive information before learning of the individual's group. We show that this bias can be easily estimated from appropriately constructed data sets and can be distinguished from previously documented inferential biases in the literature. Importantly, we document how removing the bias produces a kind of free lunch in reducing discrimination, making it possible to significantly reduce discrimination without lowering accuracy of inferences.