The Virus of Fear: The Political Impact of Ebola in the United States

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Campante, Filipe; Depetris-chauvin, Emilio; Durante, Ruben
• 署名单位: Johns Hopkins University; National Bureau of Economic Research; Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile; National University of Singapore; Leibniz Association; Ifo Institut; IZA Institute Labor Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1945-7782
• DOI: 10.1257/app.20220030
• 发表日期: 2024
• 页码: 480-509
• 关键词: disgust sensitivity; conservatism; threat

摘要

We study how public anxiety over the threat of a disease outbreak can affect voter behavior by looking at the Ebola scare that hit the United States in 2014. Exploiting timing and locations of the four cases diagnosed in the country, we show that heightened concern about Ebola led to a lower Democratic vote share and lower turnout, despite no evidence of a general anti-incumbent effect (including President Obama). Voters displayed increasingly conservative attitudes on immigration, but not on other ideologically charged issues. Our findings indicate that emotional reactions can have a strong electoral impact, mediated by issues plausibly associated with the specific triggering factor. (JEL D72, D91, I12, J15)