Cumulative Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: Experimental Evidence from Indonesia

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Cahyadi, Nur; Hanna, Rema; Olken, Benjamin A.; Prima, Rizal Adi; Satriawan, Elan; Syamsulhakim, Ekki
• 署名单位: Harvard University; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT)
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-ECONOMIC POLICY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1945-7731
• DOI: 10.1257/pol.20190245
• 发表日期: 2020
• 页码: 88-110
• 关键词: Child health; CONSEQUENCES; height; GROWTH

摘要

Conditional cash transfers provide income and promote human capital investments. Yet evaluating their longitudinal impacts is hard, as most experimental evaluations treat control locations after a few years. We examine such impacts in Indonesia after six years, where the program rollout left the experiment largely intact. We find static effects on many targeted indicators: childbirth using trained professionals increased dramatically, and under-15 children not in school fell by half. We observe impacts requiring cumulative investments: stunting fell by 23 percent. While human capital accumulation increased, the transfers did not lead to transformative economic change for recipient households.