Optimising Criminal Behaviour and the Disutility of Prison

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Mastrobuoni, Giovanni; Rivers, David A.
• 署名单位: Collegio Carlo Alberto; Western University (University of Western Ontario)
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12602
• 发表日期: 2019
• 页码: 1364-1399
• 关键词: standard deviation analysis; crime; deterrence; PUNISHMENT; MODEL; time; perceptions; ENFORCEMENT; rationale; education

摘要

We use rich microdata on bank robberies to estimate individual-level disutilities of imprisonment. The identification rests on the money versus apprehension trade-off that robbers face inside the bank when deciding whether to leave or collect money for an additional minute. The distribution of the disutility of prison is not degenerate, generating heterogeneity in behaviour. Our results show that unobserved heterogeneity in robber ability is important for explaining outcomes in terms of haul and arrest. Furthermore, higher ability robbers are found to have larger disutilities, suggesting that increased sentence lengths might effectively target these more harmful criminals.