Partisan Effects of Information Campaigns in Competitive Authoritarian Elections: Evidence from Bangladesh

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Ahmed, Firoz; Hodler, Roland; Islam, Asad
• 署名单位: Monash University; Monash University; Technical University of Munich; Khulna University; University of St Gallen; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; Leibniz Association; Ifo Institut; Monash University; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead115
• 发表日期: 2024
• 页码: 1303-1330
• 关键词: subjective expectations; sexual-behavior; life expectancy; income countries; social-security; rural malawi; hiv; HEALTH; mortality; IMPACT

摘要

To study the effects of non-partisan information and get-out-the-vote campaigns on the partisan composition of the voting population in competitive authoritarian elections, we conducted a large-scale field experiment prior to the 2018 Bangladeshi general election. Our two treatments highlight that high turnout increases the winning party's legitimacy and that election outcomes matter for policy outcomes. Both treatments increase turnout (measured by ink marks) in government strongholds, but decrease turnout in opposition strongholds. We explain the withdrawal of treated opposition supporters and conclude that non-partisan information and get-out-the-vote campaigns can further tilt the uneven playing field in competitive authoritarian elections.