Commuting for Crime

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Kirchmaier, Tom; Langella, Monica; Manning, Alan
• 署名单位: University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; Copenhagen Business School
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead089
• 发表日期: 2024
• 页码: 1173-1198
• 关键词: UNITED-STATES; distance decay; unemployment; MODEL; education; location; deterrence; offenders; migration; police

摘要

People care about crime, with the spatial distribution of both actual and perceived crime affecting the local amenities from living in different areas and residential decisions. The literature finds that crime tends to happen close to the offender's residence, but does not clearly establish whether this is because the location of likely offenders and crime opportunities are close to each other, whether more local crimes are likely to be solved or whether there is a high commuting cost for criminals. We use a rich administrative dataset from one of the biggest UK police forces to disentangle these hypotheses, proposing a procedure for controlling for the selection bias induced by the fact that an offender's location is only known when they are caught. We find that the cost of distance is very high, especially for crimes without any financial gain. For property crimes, we find a similar cost of distance to commuting for legal work. We also investigate how local socio-economic characteristics affect both the number of criminals and the number of crimes.