International trade and structural change

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: BenDavid, D; Papell, DH
• 署名单位: Tel Aviv University; University of Houston System; University of Houston
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1996(97)00011-1
• 发表日期: 1997
• 页码: 513-523
• 关键词: International trade; structural change

摘要

In light of the substantial movement towards trade liberalization during the postwar period, this paper attempts to determine if, and when, countries experienced statistically significant changes in the paths of their export-GDP and import-GDP ratios. We find that: (1) most trade ratios exhibited a structural break in their time paths; (2) postbreak trade exceeded prebreak trade for the majority of countries; (3) the coincidence in timing between the import and export breaks does not appear to be particularly strong, and; (4) there is little relation between the extent of changes in imports and the extent of changes in exports for most countries. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science B.V.