How often are propositions on the effects of regional trade agreements theoretical curiosa?

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Abrego, L; Riezman, R; Whalley, J
• 署名单位: University of Warwick; Western University (University of Western Ontario); National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Iowa
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2005.03.003
• 发表日期: 2006
• 页码: 59-78
• 关键词: regional trade agreement; Customs union; tariff equilibrium

摘要

This paper uses computational techniques to assess whether or not various propositions that have been advanced as plausible in the literature on regional trade agreements may actually hold. The idea is to make probabilistic statements as to whether propositions of interest might hold, rather than to restrict assumptions so they unambiguously hold. Our aim is to blend theory and numerical simulation and go beyond the ambiguous analytically derived propositions that dominate the theoretical literature so as to assess the likelihood of propositions holding for particular model specifications. (c) 2005 Published by Elsevier B.V.