An intertemporal model of growing awareness

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Viero, Marie-Louise
• 署名单位: Aarhus University
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-0531
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105351
• 发表日期: 2021
• 关键词: Awareness; unawareness; Reverse Bayesianism; Intertemporal utility; recursive utility; asset pricing

摘要

This paper presents an intertemporal model of growing awareness. It provides a framework for analyzing problems with long time horizons in the presence of growing awareness and awareness of unawareness. The framework generalizes both the standard event-tree framework and the framework from Karni and Viero (2017) of awareness of unawareness. Axioms and a representation are provided along with a recursive formulation of intertemporal utility. This allows for tractable and consistent analysis of intertemporal problems with unawareness. To illustrate the relevance of growing awareness for dynamic decision making, the model is applied to a representative agent intertemporal asset pricing problem. (c) 2021 The Author. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).