Public debt and growth: Heterogeneity and non-linearity

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Eberhardt, Markus; Presbitero, Andrea F.
• 署名单位: University of Nottingham; University of Oxford; International Monetary Fund
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.04.005
• 发表日期: 2015
• 页码: 45-58
• 关键词: economic growth; public debt; Common factor model; Non-linearity

摘要

We study the long-run relationship between public debt and growth in a large panel of countries. Our analysis builds on theoretical arguments and data considerations in modelling the debt-growth relationship as heterogeneous across countries. We investigate the debt-growth nexus adopting linear and non-linear specifications, employing novel methods and diagnostics from the time-series literature adapted for use in the panel We find some support for a negative relationship between public debt and long-run growth across countries, but no evidence for a similar, let alone common, debt threshold within countries. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).