A global view of productivity growth in China

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Hsieh, Chang-Tai; Ossa, Ralph
• 署名单位: University of Chicago; National Bureau of Economic Research
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.07.007
• 发表日期: 2016
• 页码: 209-224
• 关键词: spillovers; productivity growth; CHINA

摘要

How does a country's productivity growth affect worldwide real incomes through international trade? In this paper, we take this classic question to the data by measuring the spillover effects of China's productivity growth. Using a quantitative trade model, we first estimate China's productivity growth between 1995 and 2007 and then isolate what would have happened to real incomes around the world if only China's productivity had changed. We find that the spillover effects are small for all countries in our sample, ranging from a cumulative real income loss of at most -0.2% to a cumulative real income gain of at most 0.2%. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.