The welfare impact of global migration in OECD countries

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Aubry, Amandine; Burzynski, Michal; Docquier, Frrederic
• 署名单位: heSam Universite; Universite Pantheon-Sorbonne; Paris School of Economics; Universite Catholique Louvain; Poznan University of Economics & Business; Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique - FNRS
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.03.005
• 发表日期: 2016
• 页码: 1-21
• 关键词: MIGRATION; Market size; labor market; Fiscal impact; general equilibrium; welfare

摘要

This paper quantifies the effect of global migration on the welfare of non-migrant OECD citizens. We develop an integrated, multi-country model that accounts for the interactions between the labor market, fiscal, and market size effects of migration, as well as for trade relations between countries. The model is calibrated to match the economic and demographic characteristics of the 34 OECD countries and the rest of the world, as well as trade flows between them in the year 2010. We show that recent migration flows have been beneficial for 69% of the non-migrant OECD population, and for 83% of non-migrant citizens of the 22 richest OECD countries. Winners are mainly residing in traditional immigration countries; their gains are substantial and are essentially due to the entry of immigrants from non-OECD countries. Although labor market and fiscal effects are non-negligible in some countries, the greatest source of gain comes from the market size effect, i.e. the change in the variety of goods available to consumers. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.