Export side effects of wars on organized crime: The case of Mexico

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Gorrin, Jesus; Morales-Arilla, Jose; Ricca, Bernardo
• 署名单位: University of Warwick; Princeton University; Insper
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103775
• 发表日期: 2023
• 关键词: Exports; VIOLENCE; Mexico; regression discontinuity

摘要

This paper finds that law enforcement interventions during the Mexican Drug War (MDW) hindered local export growth. We leverage exogenous variation in drug enforcement from the close election of mayors affiliated with the national ruling party during the MDW. Firms servicing the same markets but exogenously exposed to drug enforcement experienced lower export growth. The MDW decreased capital investments, eroding productivity gains in capital-intensive activities.& COPY; 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.