A life cycle model of health and retirement: The case of Swedish pension reform

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Laun, Tobias; Wallenius, Johanna
• 署名单位: Uppsala University; Stockholm School of Economics
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.11.002
• 发表日期: 2015
• 页码: 127-136
• 关键词: Life cycle; retirement; pension reform; disability insurance

摘要

Sweden is one of the few Western economies to have undertaken a large pension reform in recent years. This was done with great expectations, but little formal analysis. In this paper we develop a life cycle labor supply model to quantify the predicted labor supply implications of this reform. In our framework, individuals choose when to stop working and, given eligibility criteria, when/if to apply for disability and pension benefits. Agents are heterogeneous in skills and receive exogenous shocks to health throughout their life. We find that the new pension system creates large incentives for the continued employment of older workers. This is promising news for countries grappling with pension reform, and indicates that there are significant lessons to be learned from the Swedish case. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.