Import Competition and the Great US Employment Sag of the 2000s

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Acemoglu, Daron; Autor, David; Dorn, David; Hanson, Gordon H.; Price, Brendan
• 署名单位: Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Zurich; Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); University of California System; University of California San Diego
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF LABOR ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0734-306X
• DOI: 10.1086/682384
• 发表日期: 2016
• 页码: S141-S198
• 关键词: labor-market; INTERNATIONAL-TRADE; PROPERTY-RIGHTS; GROWTH; CHINA; firm; PRODUCTIVITY; TECHNOLOGY; adjustment; INEQUALITY

摘要

Even before the Great Recession, US employment growth was unimpressive. Between 2000 and 2007, the economy gave back the considerable employment gains achieved during the 1990s, with a historic contraction in manufacturing employment being a prime contributor to the slump. We estimate that import competition from China, which surged after 2000, was a major force behind both recent reductions in US manufacturing employment and-through input-output linkages and other general equilibrium channels-weak overall US job growth. Our central estimates suggest job losses from rising Chinese import competition over 1999-2011 in the range of 2.0-2.4 million.