Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Barone, Guglielmo; D'Ignazio, Alessio; de Blasio, Guido; Naticchioni, Paolo
• 署名单位: European Central Bank; Bank of Italy; European Central Bank; Bank of Italy; Roma Tre University; IZA Institute Labor Economics
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.03.002
• 发表日期: 2016
• 页码: 1-13
• 关键词: immigration; voting; political economy

摘要

Using Italian municipality-level data on national elections and IV estimation strategy, we find that immigration generates a sizable causal increase in votes for the center-right coalition, which has a political platform less favorable to immigrants. Additional findings are: (i) the effect is heterogeneous across municipalities with different sizes; (ii) the gain in votes for the center-right coalition corresponds to a loss of votes for the center and center-left parties, a decrease in voter turnout, and a rise in protest votes; (iii) the relationship between immigration and electoral gains percolates to mayoral election at the municipality level; (iv) cultural diversity, competition in the labor market and for public services, and political competition are the most relevant channels at work. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.