Pollution or crime: The effect of driving restrictions on criminal activity

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Carrillo, Paul E.; Lopez-Luzuriaga, Andrea; Malik, Arun S.
• 署名单位: George Washington University
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2018.05.007
• 发表日期: 2018
• 页码: 50-69
• 关键词: crime; difference-in-differences; regression discontinuity; Crime displacement

摘要

Driving restriction programs have been implemented in many cities around the world to alleviate pollution and congestion problems. Enforcement of such programs is costly and can potentially displace policing resources used for crime prevention and crime detection. Hence, driving restrictions may increase crime. To test this hypothesis, we exploit both temporal and spatial variation in the implementation of Quito, Ecuador's Pico y Placa program, and evaluate its effect on crime. Both difference-in-differences and spatial regression discontinuity estimates provide credible evidence that driving restrictions have increased crime rates. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.