Cigarette taxes, smoking, and health in the long run

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Friedson, Andrew; Li, Moyan; Meckel, Katherine; Rees, Daniel I.; Sacks, Daniel W.
• 署名单位: University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus; Children's Hospital Colorado; University of Colorado Denver; Indiana University System; Indiana University Bloomington; University of California System; University of California San Diego; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid; University of Wisconsin System; University of Wisconsin Madison
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2023.104877
• 发表日期: 2023
• 关键词: Smoking; Cigarette Taxes; mortality

摘要

Medical experts have argued forcefully that using cigarettes harms health, prompting the adoption of myriad anti-smoking policies. The association between smoking and mortality may, however, be influ-enced by unobserved factors, making it difficult to discern the underlying long-term causal relationship. In this study, we explore the effects of cigarette taxes experienced as a teenager, which are arguably exogenous, on adult smoking participation and mortality. A one-dollar increase in cigarette taxes expe-rienced at ages 14-17 is associated with an 8 percent reduction in adult smoking participation and a 4 percent reduction in mortality. Mortality effects are most pronounced for heart disease and lung cancer.(c) 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.