THE ADJUSTMENT OF LABOR MARKETS TO ROBOTS

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Dauth, Wolfgang; Findeisen, Sebastian; Suedekum, Jens; Woessner, Nicole
• 署名单位: University of Wurzburg; University of Konstanz; Heinrich Heine University Dusseldorf
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1542-4766
• DOI: 10.1093/jeea/jvab012
• 发表日期: 2021
• 页码: 3104-3153
• 关键词: technical change; TRADE; polarization; TECHNOLOGY; INNOVATION; GROWTH; tasks; jobs

摘要

We use detailed administrative data to study the adjustment of local labor markets to industrial robots in Germany. Robot exposure, as predicted by a shift-share variable, is associated with displacement effects in manufacturing, but those are fully offset by new jobs in services. The incidence mostly falls on young workers just entering the labor force. Automation is related to more stable employment within firms for incumbents, and this is driven by workers taking over new tasks in their original plants. Several measures indicate that those new jobs are of higher quality than the previous ones. Young workers also adapt their educational choices, and substitute away from vocational training towards colleges and universities. Finally, industrial robots have benefited workers in occupations with complementary tasks, such as managers or technical scientists.