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作者:Alesina, Alberto; Piccolo, Salvatore; Pinotti, Paolo
作者单位:Harvard University; Bocconi University; Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Bergamo; Bocconi University
摘要:We develop a model explaining how criminal organizations strategically use pre-electoral violence as a way of influencing electoral results and politicians' behaviour. We then characterize the incentives to use such violence under different levels of electoral competition and different electoral rules. Our theory is consistent with the empirical evidence within Sicily and across Italian regions. Specifically, the presence of organized crime is associated with abnormal spikes in violence agains...
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作者:Herkenhoff, Kyle F.
作者单位:University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities
摘要:Unemployed households' access to unsecured revolving credit more than tripled over the last three decades. This article analyses how both cyclical fluctuations and trend increases in credit access impact the business cycle. The main quantitative result is that credit expansions and contractions have contributed to moderately deeper and more protracted recessions over the last 40 years. As more individuals obtained credit from 1977 to 2010, cyclical credit fluctuations affected a larger share o...
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作者:Ahn, David S.; Iijima, Ryota; Le Yaouanq, Yves; Sarver, Todd
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Berkeley; Yale University; University of Munich; Duke University
摘要:We propose non-parametric definitions of absolute and comparative naivete. These definitions leverage ex ante choice of menu to identify predictions of future behaviour and ex post (random) choices from menus to identify actual behaviour. The main advantage of our definitions is their independence from any assumed functional form for the utility function representing behaviour. An individual is sophisticated if she is indifferent ex ante between retaining the option to choose from a menu ex po...
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作者:Michaillat, Pascal; Saez, Emmanuel
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作者:Jung, Junehyuk; Kim, Jeong Ho (John); Matejka, Filip; Sims, Christopher A.
作者单位:Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; Emory University; Charles University Prague; Czech Academy of Sciences; Economics Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences; Czech Academy of Sciences; Economics Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences; Princeton University
摘要:Individuals are constantly processing external information and translating it into actions. This draws on limited resources of attention and requires economizing on attention devoted to signals related to economic behaviour. A natural measure of such costs is based on Shannon's channel capacity. Modelling economic agents as constrained by Shannon capacity as they process freely available information turns out to imply that discretely distributed actions, and thus actions that persist across re...
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作者:Belot, Michele; Kircher, Philipp; Muller, Paul
作者单位:European University Institute; University of Edinburgh; University of Gothenburg
摘要:We develop and evaluate experimentally a novel tool that redesigns the job search process by providing tailored advice at lowcost. We invited jobseekers to our computer facilities for twelve consecutive weekly sessions to search for real jobs on our web interface. For one-half, instead of relying on their own search criteria, we use readily available labour market data to display relevant alternative occupations and associated jobs. The data indicate that this broadens the set of jobs they con...
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作者:Leon-Ledesma, Miguel A.; Satchi, Mathan
作者单位:University of Kent
摘要:We provide a general theoretical characterization of how firms' technology choice on a technology frontier determines the long-run elasticity of substitution between capital and labour. We show that the shape of the frontier determines factor shares and the elasticity of substitution between capital and labour. If there are adjustment costs to technology choice, the short- and long-run elasticities differ, with the long-run always higher. If the technology frontier is log-linear, the productio...
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作者:Aghion, Philippe; Akcigit, Ufuk; Bergeaud, Antonin; Blundell, Richard; Hemous, David
作者单位:Universite PSL; College de France; University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; University of Chicago; Center for Economic & Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research; European Central Bank; Bank of France; University of London; University College London; University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; University of Zurich
摘要:In this article, we use cross-state panel and cross-U.S. commuting-zone data to look at the relationship between innovation, top income inequality and social mobility. We find positive correlations between measures of innovation and top income inequality. We also show that the correlations between innovation and broad measures of inequality are not significant. Next, using instrumental variable analysis, we argue that these correlations at least partly reflect a causality from innovation to to...
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作者:Arkolakis, Costas; Costinot, Arnaud; Donaldson, Dave; Rodriguez-Clare, Andrs
作者单位:Yale University; National Bureau of Economic Research; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); University of California System; University of California Berkeley
摘要:We study the gains from trade liberalization in models with monopolistic competition, firm-level heterogeneity, and variable markups. For a large class of demand functions used in the international macro and trade literature, we derive a parsimonious generalization of the welfare formula in Arkolakis et al. (2012). We then use both estimates from micro-level trade data and evidence regarding firm-level pass-through to quantify the implications of this new formula. Within the class of models th...
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作者:Chernozhukov, Victor; Chetverikov, Denis; Kato, Kengo
作者单位:Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); University of California System; University of California Los Angeles; Cornell University
摘要:This article considers the problem of testing many moment inequalities where the number of moment inequalities, denoted by , is possibly much larger than the sample size . There is a variety of economic applications where solving this problem allows to carry out inference on causal and structural parameters; a notable example is the market structure model of Ciliberto and Tamer (2009) where p = 2(m+1) with m being the number of firms that could possibly enter the market. We consider the test s...