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作者：Mottley, CM; Embody, DR
作者单位：Cornell University
摘要：The idea that the full moon had an adverse effect on the fishing became general at Paul Lake in central British Columbia after the 1934 season. To test this claim records of catches of over 27,000 rainbow trout, extending through 5 seasons (1932-1936), were examined by sampling. Catches during the day of, the day before and the day after the full moon were compared with catches in 3 days selected at random from the remaining days of each month. Adjustment for the number of boats fishing was ma...
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作者：Deming, WE
摘要：Two types of problems confront the statistician in his job of making predictions in type A, action is based on a prediction regarding future measurements of a product already in existence; in type B, the product is not yet subject to measurement, perhaps not even produced yet, the evidence coming from other product originating from the same or similar processes. The fundamental problem of mathematical statistics (type A) is to set fixed limits within which percentages of other terms of a rando...
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作者：Osborne, JG
摘要：To estimate the composition of an area by cover-type classes, sampling is usually systematic, the national forest-survey procedure being one line in 10 miles of width. By superimposing on a map 20 lines per mile, randomly placed, 3 types of sampling were tried[long dash]completely random, stratified random and a systematic type consisting of lines 1 mile apart. The estimates of the mean area in cultivated land were practically the same in the 3 types of sampling, but the stratified random surv...
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作者：Berkson, J
摘要：In the dominant school of statistics, the test of significance not only characterizes the method of statistics but is considered to be the very essence of all exptl. science. The argument as usually presented (if the experience at hand would occur very infrequently in a given hypothesis, the hypothesis is considered disproved) has an apparent plausibility, but reflection has led to the conclusion that it is erroneous. It seems to be basically illogical, and not in accord with the mode of reaso...
