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作者:Paulon, Giorgio; Llanos, Fernando; Chandrasekaran, Bharath; Sarkar, Abhra
作者单位:University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin; University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); University of Pittsburgh
摘要:Understanding how adult humans learn nonnative speech categories such as tone information has shed novel insights into the mechanisms underlying experience-dependent brain plasticity. Scientists have traditionally examined these questions using longitudinal learning experiments under a multi-category decision making paradigm. Drift-diffusion processes are popular in such contexts for their ability to mimic underlying neural mechanisms. Motivated by these problems, we develop a novel Bayesian s...
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作者:Dou, Xialiang; Liang, Tengyuan
作者单位:University of Chicago; University of Chicago
摘要:Consider the problem: given the data pair drawn from a population with , specify a neural network model and run gradient flow on the weights over time until reaching any stationarity. How does f(t), the function computed by the neural network at time t, relate to , in terms of approximation and representation? What are the provable benefits of the adaptive representation by neural networks compared to the prespecified fixed basis representation in the classical nonparametric literature? We ans...
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作者:Ruggeri, Fabrizio
作者单位:Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR); Istituto di Matematica Applicata e Tecnologie Informatiche Enrico Magenes (IMATI-CNR)
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作者:Khan, Md Kamrul Hasan; Chakraborty, Avishek; Petris, Giovanni; Wilson, Barry T.
作者单位:University of Arkansas System; University of Arkansas Fayetteville; United States Department of Agriculture (USDA); United States Forest Service
摘要:The USDA Forest Service uses satellite imagery, along with a sample of national forest inventory field plots, to monitor and predict changes in forest conditions over time throughout the United States. We specifically focus on a 230,400 ha region in north-central Wisconsin between 2003 and 2012. The auxiliary data from the satellite imagery of this region are relatively dense in space and time, and can be used to learn how forest conditions changed over that decade. However, these records have...
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作者:Lee, Youjin; Ogburn, Elizabeth L.
作者单位:University of Pennsylvania; Johns Hopkins University; Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
摘要:Researchers across the health and social sciences generally assume that observations are independent, even while relying on convenience samples that draw subjects from one or a small number of communities, schools, hospitals, etc. A paradigmatic example of this is the Framingham Heart Study (FHS). Many of the limitations of such samples are well-known, but the issue of statistical dependence due to social network ties has not previously been addressed. We show that, along with anticonservative...
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作者:Shafer, Glenn
作者单位:Rutgers University System; Rutgers University Newark; Rutgers University New Brunswick
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作者:Diaconis, Persi; Wang, Guanyang
作者单位:Stanford University; Rutgers University System; Rutgers University New Brunswick
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作者:Nethery, Rachel C.; Mealli, Fabrizia; Sacks, Jason D.; Dominici, Francesca
作者单位:Harvard University; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; University of Florence; United States Environmental Protection Agency
摘要:We develop a causal inference approach to estimate the number of adverse health events that were prevented due to changes in exposure to multiple pollutants attributable to a large-scale air quality intervention/regulation, with a focus on the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA). We introduce a causal estimand called the total events avoided (TEA) by the regulation, defined as the difference in the number of health events expected under the no-regulation pollution exposures and the number obs...
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作者:de Haan, Laurens; Zhou, Chen
作者单位:Erasmus University Rotterdam; Erasmus University Rotterdam - Excl Erasmus MC; European Central Bank; De Nederlandsche Bank NV; Tinbergen Institute
摘要:We consider extreme value analysis for independent but nonidentically distributed observations. In particular, the observations do not share the same extreme value index. Assuming continuously changing extreme value indices, we provide a nonparametric estimate for the functional extreme value index. Besides estimating the extreme value index locally, we also provide a global estimator for the trend and its joint asymptotic theory. The asymptotic theory for the global estimator can be used for ...
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作者:Hou, Yanxi; Wang, Xing
作者单位:Fudan University; Illinois Institute of Technology
摘要:Tail risk analysis focuses on the problem of risk measurement on the tail regions of financial variables. As one crucial task in tail risk analysis for risk management, the measurement of tail risk variability is less addressed in the literature. Neither the theoretical results nor inference methods are fully developed, which results in the difficulty of modeling implementation. Practitioners are then short of measurement methods to understand and evaluate tail risks, even when they have large...