作者：Stensrud, Mats J.; Sarvet, Aaron L.
作者单位：Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne
作者：Pawel, Samuel; Held, Leonhard
作者单位：University of Zurich; Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+)
摘要：Replication studies are increasingly conducted but there is no established statistical criterion for replication success. We propose a novel approach combining reverse-Bayes analysis with Bayesian hypothesis testing: a sceptical prior is determined for the effect size such that the original finding is no longer convincing in terms of a Bayes factor. This prior is then contrasted to an advocacy prior (the reference posterior of the effect size based on the original study), and replication succe...
作者：Didelez, Vanessa
作者单位：Leibniz Association; Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research & Epidemiology (BIPS); University of Bremen
作者：Lavine, Michael; Hodges, James
作者单位：University of Massachusetts System; University of Massachusetts Amherst; University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities
作者：Hines, Oliver; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla
作者单位：University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
作者：Zhou, Xiang
作者单位：Harvard University
摘要：Causal mediation analysis concerns the pathways through which a treatment affects an outcome. While most of the mediation literature focuses on settings with a single mediator, a flourishing line of research has examined settings involving multiple mediators, under which path-specific effects (PSEs) are often of interest. We consider estimation of PSEs when the treatment effect operates through K(>= 1) causally ordered, possibly multivariate mediators. In this setting, the PSEs for many causal...
