作者:Aronow, Peter M.; Samii, Cyrus
作者单位:Yale University; New York University
摘要:This paper presents a randomization-based framework for estimating causal effects under interference between units motivated by challenges that arise in analyzing experiments on social networks. The framework integrates three components: (i) an experimental design that defines the probability distribution of treatment assignments, (ii) a mapping that relates experimental treatment assignments to exposures received by units in the experiment, and (iii) estimands that make use of the experiment ...
作者:Towe, Ross; Eastoe, Emma; Tawn, Jonathan; Jonathan, Philip
作者单位:Lancaster University; Lancaster University; Royal Dutch Shell
摘要:For safe offshore operations, accurate knowledge of the extreme oceanographic conditions is required. We develop a multi-step statistical downscaling algorithm using data from a low resolution global climate model (GCM) and local-scale hindcast data to make predictions of the extreme wave climate in the next 50-year period at locations in the North Sea. The GCM is unable to produce wave data accurately so instead we use its 3-hourly wind speed and direction data. By exploiting the relationship...