5期

最新文章

• Managing disease containment measures during a pandemic AI翻译
  作者：Shahmanzari, Masoud; Tanrisever, Fehmi; Eryarsoy, Enes; Sensoy, Ahmet
  作者单位：Ozyegin University; Brunel University; Ihsan Dogramaci Bilkent University; Sabanci University
  摘要：Throughout the current COVID-19 pandemic, governments have implemented a variety of containment measures, ranging from hoping for herd immunity (which is essentially no containment) to mandating complete lockdown. On the one hand, containment measures reduce lives lost by limiting the disease spread and controlling the load on the healthcare system. On the other hand, such measures slow down economic activity, leading to lost jobs, economic stall, and societal disturbances, such as protests, c...
• COVID-19: A multiwave SIR-based model for learning waves AI翻译
  作者：Perakis, Georgia; Singhvi, Divya; Lami, Omar Skali; Thayaparan, Leann
  作者单位：Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); New York University; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
  摘要：One of the greatest challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the way evolving regulation, information, and sentiment have driven waves of the disease. Traditional epidemiology models, such as the SIR model, are not equipped to handle these behavioral-based changes. We propose a novel multiwave susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, which can detect and model the waves of the disease. We bring together the SIR model's compartmental structure with a change-point detection martingale pro...
• Pausing transplants in the face of a global pandemic: Patient survival implications AI翻译
  作者：Zhang, Minmin; Wang, Guihua; Li, Jun; Hopp, Wallace J.; Lee, David D.
  作者单位：University of Texas System; University of Texas Dallas; University of Michigan System; University of Michigan; Loyola University Chicago
  摘要：The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has disrupted normal operating procedures at transplant centers. With the possibility that COVID-19 infection carries an overall 4% mortality rate and potentially a 24% mortality rate among the immunocompromised transplant recipients, many transplant centers considered the possibility of slowing down and even potentially pausing all transplants. Many proposals regarding the need for pausing organ transplants exist; however, much remains unknown....
• When preemptive risk mitigation is insufficient: The effectiveness of continuity and resilience techniques during COVID-19 AI翻译
  作者：Dohmen, Anne E.; Merrick, Jason R. W.; Saunders, Lance W.; Stank, Theodore P.; Goldsby, Thomas J.
  作者单位：University of Tennessee System; University of Tennessee Knoxville; Virginia Commonwealth University
  摘要：The extreme demand volatility caused by corona virus 2019 (COVID-19) overwhelmed most preemptive measures enacted by firms to mitigate disruptions in their supply chains. This led to the rapid implementation of reactive measures to provide business continuity. The operations and supply chain management literature has grouped these reactive techniques into those that involve the reconfiguration of firm resources and those that involve changes to its decision-making processes. Unfortunately, lit...
• A queueing-theoretic framework for evaluating transmission risks in service facilities during a pandemic AI翻译
  作者：Kang, Kang; Doroudi, Sherwin; Delasay, Mohammad; Wickeham, Alexander
  作者单位：University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities; State University of New York (SUNY) System; Stony Brook University
  摘要：We propose a new modeling framework for evaluating the risk of disease transmission during a pandemic in small-scale settings driven by stochasticity in the arrival and service processes, that is, congestion-prone confined-space service facilities. We propose a novel metric, system-specific basic reproduction rate, inspired by the basic reproduction rate concept from epidemiology, which measures the transmissibility of infectious diseases. We derive our metric for various queueing models of se...