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作者:Iacovone, Leonardo; Rauch, Ferdinand; Winters, L. Alan
作者单位:The World Bank; University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; University of Sussex
摘要:This paper exploits the surge in Chinese exports from 1994 to 2004 to evaluate the effects of a competition shock from a low wage competitor for producers in an important middle-income country, Mexico. We find that this shock causes selection and reallocation at both firm and product levels and that its impact is highly heterogeneous at the intensive and extensive margins. Sales of smaller plants and more marginal products are compressed and are more likely to cease, whereas those of larger pl...
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作者:Celik, Levent; Karabay, Bilgehan; McLaren, John
作者单位:Charles University Prague; Czech Academy of Sciences; Economics Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences; Czech Academy of Sciences; Economics Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences; University of Auckland; University of Virginia
摘要:In democracies, trade policy is the result of interactions among many agents with different agendas. In accordance with this observation, we construct a dynamic model of legislative trade policy-making in the realm of distributive politics. An economy consists of different sectors, each of which is concentrated in one or more electoral districts. Each district is represented by a legislator in the Congress. Legislative process is modeled as a multilateral sequential bargaining game a la Baron ...
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作者:Kempf, Hubert; von Thadden, Leopold
作者单位:Universite Paris Saclay; Paris School of Economics; Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz
摘要:This paper offers a framework to study strategic interactions between private players, national fiscal authorities and a common central bank in monetary unions. We establish general conditions, in terms of restrictions on spill-over effects of actions by private and public players, under which games that differ in the degree of cooperation and commitment can admit the same equilibrium outcome. We use these conditions to characterize benchmark results on the irrelevance of cooperation and commi...
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作者:Baldwin, Richard; Venables, Anthony J.
作者单位:University of Oxford
摘要:Global production sharing is determined by international cost differences and frictions related to the costs of unbundling stages spatially. The interaction between these forces depends on engineering details of the production process with two extremes being 'snakes' and 'spiders'. Snakes are processes whose sequencing is dictated by engineering; spiders involve the assembly of parts in no particular order. This paper studies spatial unbundling as frictions fall, showing that outcomes are very...
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作者:Christiansen, Lone; Schindler, Martin; Tressel, Thierry
作者单位:International Monetary Fund
摘要:This paper presents a simultaneous assessment of the relationship between economic performance and three groups of economic reforms: domestic finance, trade, and the capital account. Domestic financial reforms and trade reforms are robustly associated with economic growth, but only in middle-income countries. In contrast, there is no evidence of a systematic positive relationship between capital account liberalization and economic growth. Moreover, the effect of domestic financial reforms on e...
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作者:Harris, Richard G.; Robertson, Peter E.
作者单位:Simon Fraser University; University of Western Australia
摘要:Concerns over rising inequality have threatened to slow the process of trade liberalization in emerging economies, such as China and India. But even if trade liberalization raises inequality, these effects may be short lived and associated with important dynamic effects such as capital and skill accumulation. Using a simple dynamic open economy model we show that trade liberalization can induce substantial human capital accumulation, and that the transition path for the skill premium can be no...
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作者:Novy, Dennis
作者单位:University of Warwick
摘要:This paper derives a micro-founded gravity equation based on a translog demand system that allows for flexible substitution patterns across goods. In contrast to the standard CES-based gravity equation, translog gravity generates an endogenous trade cost elasticity. Trade is more sensitive to trade costs if the exporting country only provides a small share of the destination country's imports. As a result, trade costs have a heterogeneous impact across country pairs, with some trade flows pred...
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作者:Regolo, Julie
作者单位:University of Geneva
摘要:This paper studies how a country's export diversification varies across destination markets. It develops an extension of the Romalis (2004) model which yields two testable predictions. According to the first, exports between similarly endowed countries (South-South and North-North) are more diversified than exports between differently endowed countries (South-North and North-South). The second implication is that, for given countries' production patterns, low bilateral trade costs lead to grea...
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作者:Hu, Yunfang; Mino, Kazuo
作者单位:Tohoku University; Kyoto University
摘要:This paper constructs a dynamic two-country model with country-specific production externalities and inspects the presence of equilibrium indeterminacy under alternative trade structures. It is shown that the presence of belief-driven economic fluctuations caused by equilibrium indeterminacy is closely related to the specified trade structure. If investment goods are not internationally traded and international lending and borrowing are allowed, then indeterminacy arises in a wider set of para...
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作者:Kuralbayeva, Karlygash; Stefanski, Radoslaw
作者单位:University of Oxford; Laval University
摘要:Macro cross-country data and micro US county data indicate that resource-rich regions have small but relatively productive manufacturing sectors and large but relatively unproductive non-manufacturing sectors. We suggest a process of specialization to explain these facts. Windfall revenue induces labor to move from the (traded) manufacturing to the (non-traded) non-manufacturing sector. A self-selection of workers takes place. Only those most skilled in manufacturing sector work remain in manu...